Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aleksandar Vukic v Rei Sakamoto

Início: 2026-08-30 20:53 UTC

Final: Aleksandar Vukic 2–3 Rei Sakamoto

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aleksandar Vukic (Local)

Previsão 41.73%2.40odd justa
EV -0.689%
Vantagem -0.290%
Kelly -0.500%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.75%41.60%41.71%43.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.292.302.3845.45%43.66%43.48%42.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rei Sakamoto (Visitante)

Previsão 58.27%1.72odd justa
EV -1.52%
Vantagem -0.899%
Kelly -2.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.70%58.40%58.29%60.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.561.621.621.6964.10%61.61%61.73%59.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Aleksandar Vukic (Local): 41.73%; Rei Sakamoto (Visitante): 58.27%. Para Aleksandar Vukic (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.40. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.38, com valor esperado de -0.689%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.689%E -0.290%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.51%E -5.42%K -14.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 22:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.689%E -0.290%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.51%E -5.42%K -14.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 22:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.689%E -0.290%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.51%E -5.42%K -14.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 22:50
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.689%E -0.290%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.51%E -5.42%K -14.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 22:50
1xBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.63%EV -1.11%E -0.467%K -0.808%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.37%EV -1.52%E -0.899%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-30 20:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.94%E -0.826%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 18:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.94%E -0.826%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.51%E -5.42%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 06:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.76%E -4.23%K -11.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.76%E -4.23%K -11.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:15
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.76%E -4.23%K -11.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:14
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.76%E -4.23%K -11.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.76%E -4.23%K -11.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:15
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.76%E -4.23%K -11.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.76%E -4.23%K -11.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.76%E -4.23%K -11.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:15
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.76%E -4.23%K -11.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:15
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.76%E -4.23%K -11.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.76%E -4.23%K -11.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:15
Bally Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.76%E -4.23%K -11.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.76%E -4.23%K -11.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.19%E -1.38%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.27%E -1.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 16:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.19%E -1.38%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.27%E -1.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 16:55
ReBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -3.61%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 17:45
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.68%E -1.61%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 17:24
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 15:49
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 15:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 16:50
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 00:00
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.44%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.02%E -3.08%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 16:50
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -4.86%E -2.13%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -1.52%E -0.899%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 16:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.86%E -2.13%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.02%E -3.08%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 16:54
DraftKings🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.86%E -2.13%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 15:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -4.86%E -2.13%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -9.09%E -5.83%K -16.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 18:15
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -5.70%E -2.52%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -3.27%E -1.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 17:25
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.68%E -1.61%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 17:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.27%E -1.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 20:35
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 17:25
BetAnything🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 15:45
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 15:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.02%E -3.08%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 19:54
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 19:35
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 15:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 15:50
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 15:45
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 11:03
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 17:25
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 19:35
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 19:35
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 15:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -7.37%E -3.32%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.81%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 19:45
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.68%E -1.61%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 18:55
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.76%E -4.23%K -11.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 15:45
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.76%E -4.23%K -11.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 15:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25%0.4%2026-08-30 20:40
Matchbook◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-08-30 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-08-30 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-08-30 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-08-30 20:25
ProphetX◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-08-30 20:05
Smarkets◎2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.3%2026-08-30 20:35