Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dominic Stephan Stricker v Casper Ruud

2026-10-26 19:00 UTC — ATP Swiss Indoors Basel

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dominic Stephan Stricker (Local)

Prediction 29.60%3.38fair odd
EV +1.82%
Edge +0.529%
Kelly +0.746%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 3.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.73%29.58%29.52%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.163.103.4433.90%31.67%32.26%29.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Casper Ruud (Visit)

Prediction 70.40%1.42fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -2.59%
Kelly -9.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%70.42%70.48%72.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.351.351.3776.92%74.31%74.07%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Dominic Stephan Stricker (Local): 29.60%; Casper Ruud (Visit): 70.40%. For Dominic Stephan Stricker (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.38. 5 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.44, producing a positive expected value of +1.82%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV +1.82%E +0.529%K +0.746%G +0.014%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -7.07%E -5.36%K -22.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-26 05:45
Pinnacle🎯3.41I 29.33%NM 28.51%EV +0.931%E +0.273%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.49%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-26 06:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV +0.635%E +0.187%K +0.265%G +0.002%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.96%E -3.67%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-26 05:31
BetAnything🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.635%E +0.187%K +0.265%G +0.002%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.37%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-26 06:00
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.635%E +0.187%K +0.265%G +0.002%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.37%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-26 05:04
BetUS🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.63%EV -1.14%E -0.342%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.37%EV -5.66%E -4.23%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-26 05:13
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.32%E -0.704%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.37%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-26 05:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.80%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-26 05:06
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.80%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-26 05:06
Bet Right🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.80%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.66%E -4.23%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 05:12
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.80%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.37%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 05:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.80%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.37%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 05:45
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.80%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.37%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 05:58
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.96%E -3.67%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 05:13
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.66%E -4.23%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-26 05:13
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.37%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-26 05:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.37%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-26 05:49
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.37%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-26 05:49
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.37%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-26 07:05
ReBet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -5.88%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -7.07%E -5.36%K -22.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-26 07:01
FanDuel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.76%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 07:06
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -6.76%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.07%E -5.36%K -22.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-26 05:31
SportsBet🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 29.82%EV -7.36%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -6.37%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-26 07:00
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.55%E -2.59%K -9.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 05:05
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.55%E -2.59%K -9.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 05:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.55%E -2.59%K -9.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 05:55
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:05
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:06
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:06
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:06
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:05
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:05
Bally Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:06
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:31
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:46
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 06:00
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.66%E -4.23%K -16.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-26 05:05
picklebet_au🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.37%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-26 05:25
Neds🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.72%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.96%E -3.67%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-26 05:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.72%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.96%E -3.67%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-26 05:15
Unibet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -9.72%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -7.77%E -5.93%K -25.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-26 07:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-26 05:05
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.25%E -3.13%K -11.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-26 05:05
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.37%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-26 05:04
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.37%E -4.79%K -19.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-26 05:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -12.68%E -4.30%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.41%EV -8.48%E -6.52%K -28.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-26 05:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-10-26 06:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-10-26 06:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-10-26 06:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-10-26 06:45
ProphetX◎3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%1.9%2026-10-26 06:35
Matchbook◎3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%2.4%2026-10-26 06:35