Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Dominic Stephan Stricker v Casper Ruud

2026-10-26 19:00 UTC — ATP Swiss Indoors Basel

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Dominic Stephan Stricker (Local)

Prévision 29.32%3.41cote équitable
EV +0.847%
Avantage +0.246%
Kelly +0.347%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 3.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.73%29.38%29.35%31.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.953.173.103.4433.90%31.52%32.26%29.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Casper Ruud (Visiteur)

Prévision 70.68%1.41cote équitable
EV -3.16%
Avantage -2.31%
Kelly -8.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.81%70.62%70.65%72.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.301.341.351.3776.92%74.35%74.07%72.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Dominic Stephan Stricker (Local) : 29.32% ; Casper Ruud (Visiteur) : 70.68%. Pour Dominic Stephan Stricker (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.41. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 3.44, pour une espérance positive de +0.847%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV +0.847%E +0.246%K +0.347%G +0.003%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-26 05:45
Winamax (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -0.326%E -0.096%K -0.136%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-26 05:31
BetAnything🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.326%E -0.096%K -0.136%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-26 06:00
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.326%E -0.096%K -0.136%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-26 05:04
Pinnacle🎯3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -0.619%E -0.183%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-26 07:45
FanDuel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.79%E -0.535%K -0.762%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 07:50
BetUS🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.63%EV -2.08%E -0.624%K -0.891%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.37%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-26 05:13
SportsBet🎯3.31I 30.21%NM 28.20%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.80%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-26 07:50
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.26%E -0.987%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-26 05:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-26 05:06
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-26 05:06
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-26 07:45
Bet Right🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 05:12
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 05:45
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 05:58
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 07:49
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 07:55
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-26 07:25
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 05:13
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-26 05:13
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-26 05:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-26 05:49
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-26 05:49
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-26 07:05
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-26 07:49
ReBet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -6.78%E -2.13%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-26 07:01
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-26 05:31
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.16%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 05:05
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.16%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 05:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.16%E -2.31%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 05:55
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:05
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:06
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:06
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:06
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:05
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:05
Bally Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:06
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 07:45
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:31
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:46
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 06:00
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-26 05:05
picklebet_au🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-26 05:25
Neds🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-26 05:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.58%E -3.39%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-26 05:15
Unibet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -7.40%E -5.65%K -23.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-26 07:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-26 05:05
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-26 05:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -13.52%E -4.58%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.41%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-26 05:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-10-26 06:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-10-26 06:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-10-26 06:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-10-26 06:45
ProphetX◎3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%1.9%2026-10-26 06:35
Matchbook◎3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%2.4%2026-10-26 06:35