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Hubert Hurkacz v Yi Zhou
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hubert Hurkacz (Local)
Prediction 83.98%1.19fair odd
EV -3.43%
Edge -2.98%
Kelly -22.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.57%83.98%84.15%85.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.131.131.1591.74%88.63%88.50%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yi Zhou (Visit)
Prediction 16.02%6.24fair odd
EV +9.93%
Edge +1.45%
Kelly +1.69%
Growth +0.168%
assuming max odds 6.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.04%16.02%15.85%17.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.305.926.006.8618.87%16.90%16.67%14.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hubert Hurkacz (Local): 83.98%; Yi Zhou (Visit): 16.02%. For Yi Zhou (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.24. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.86, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.93%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -5.95%E -5.31%K -49.56%G +0.000% | 6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV +9.93%E +1.45%K +1.69%G +0.168% | 3.9% | 2026-10-11 06:16 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -5.95%E -5.31%K -49.56%G +0.000% | 6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV +9.93%E +1.45%K +1.69%G +0.168% | 3.9% | 2026-10-11 06:16 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.31%EV -4.27%E -3.74%K -30.48%G +0.000% | 6.62I 15.11%NM 14.69%EV +6.08%E +0.918%K +1.08%G +0.066% | 2.8% | 2026-10-11 06:01 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -5.11%E -4.52%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV +0.952%E +0.151%K +0.180%G +0.002% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 16:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.95%E -5.31%K -49.56%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +0.151%E +0.024%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 20:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.11%E -4.52%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -2.25%E -0.369%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.27%E -3.74%K -30.48%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -3.05%E -0.505%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-11 06:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -5.11%E -4.52%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -3.05%E -0.505%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 16:11 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.27%E -3.74%K -30.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.86%E -0.643%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.11%E -4.52%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.86%E -0.643%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.11%E -4.52%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.86%E -0.643%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.11%E -4.52%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.86%E -0.643%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.11%E -4.52%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.86%E -0.643%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.11%E -4.52%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.86%E -0.643%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.11%E -4.52%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.86%E -0.643%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.11%E -4.52%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.86%E -0.643%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.11%E -4.52%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.86%E -0.643%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.11%E -4.52%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.86%E -0.643%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.11%E -4.52%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.86%E -0.643%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.11%E -4.52%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.86%E -0.643%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.11%E -4.52%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.86%E -0.643%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 02:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.11%E -4.52%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.86%E -0.643%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 06:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.11%E -4.52%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.86%E -0.643%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.11%E -4.52%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.86%E -0.643%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.11%E -4.52%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.86%E -0.643%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.11%E -4.52%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.86%E -0.643%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.11%E -4.52%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.86%E -0.643%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.11%E -4.52%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.86%E -0.643%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.95%E -5.31%K -49.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.86%E -0.643%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.95%E -5.31%K -49.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.86%E -0.643%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 19:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.95%E -5.31%K -49.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.86%E -0.643%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.95%E -5.31%K -49.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.86%E -0.643%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.95%E -5.31%K -49.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.86%E -0.643%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.95%E -5.31%K -49.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.86%E -0.643%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.95%E -5.31%K -49.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.86%E -0.643%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.95%E -5.31%K -49.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.86%E -0.643%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-11 06:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.95%E -5.31%K -49.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.86%E -0.643%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.95%E -5.31%K -49.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.86%E -0.643%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -3.43%E -2.98%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -5.46%E -0.925%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-11 06:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.18%EV -8.47%E -7.77%K -94.07%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -7.06%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-11 06:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.11%E -4.52%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.86%E -1.37%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.06%EV -3.43%E -2.98%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 5.64I 17.73%NM 16.94%EV -9.62%E -1.71%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-11 06:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.27%E -3.74%K -30.48%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -10.27%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-11 06:31 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.43%E -2.98%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.87%E -2.16%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 06:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.27%E -3.74%K -30.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.87%E -2.16%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-11 06:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.27%E -3.74%K -30.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.87%E -2.16%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-10 16:11 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.27%E -3.74%K -30.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.87%E -2.16%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-11 06:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.46%EV -8.47%E -7.77%K -94.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -11.87%E -2.16%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-10 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.27%E -3.74%K -30.48%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -13.47%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-11 06:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.27%E -3.74%K -30.48%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -13.47%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-11 06:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.11%E -4.52%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -13.47%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.11%E -4.52%K -39.29%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -13.47%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -5.95%E -5.31%K -49.56%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -13.47%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-11 06:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.68%EV -6.79%E -6.11%K -61.70%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -15.07%E -2.84%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-10 15:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.86% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.14% | 0.1% | 2026-10-11 06:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.86% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.14% | 0.1% | 2026-10-11 06:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-10-11 06:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-10-11 06:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-10-11 06:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.23% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.77% | 1.7% | 2026-10-11 06:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.85% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.15% | 2.8% | 2026-10-11 06:30 |