Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hubert Hurkacz v Yi Zhou

2026-10-11 05:10 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hubert Hurkacz (Local)

Prediction 84.23%1.19fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -2.73%
Kelly -20.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.68%84.19%84.27%85.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.131.131.1591.74%88.74%88.50%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yi Zhou (Visit)

Prediction 15.77%6.34fair odd
EV +6.00%
Edge +0.893%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.063%

assuming max odds 6.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.50%15.81%15.73%17.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.305.946.006.7218.87%16.82%16.67%14.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hubert Hurkacz (Local): 84.23%; Yi Zhou (Visit): 15.77%. For Yi Zhou (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.34. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.72, producing a positive expected value of +6.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.50%EV -3.98%E -3.49%K -28.44%G +0.000%6.72I 14.88%NM 14.50%EV +6.00%E +0.893%K +1.05%G +0.063%2.6%2026-10-10 19:30
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -4.82%E -4.27%K -37.11%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -0.627%E -0.100%K -0.118%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 16:10
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.42%E -0.226%K -0.270%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 13:59
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.56%EV -4.82%E -4.27%K -37.11%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.44%EV -2.36%E -0.382%K -0.455%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 14:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.50%EV -4.82%E -4.27%K -37.11%G +0.000%6.16I 16.23%NM 15.50%EV -2.84%E -0.460%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 15:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.50%EV -4.82%E -4.27%K -37.11%G +0.000%6.16I 16.23%NM 15.50%EV -2.84%E -0.460%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 15:35
Fanatics🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.82%E -4.27%K -37.11%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -3.78%E -0.620%K -0.741%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 13:59
Coolbet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.82%E -4.27%K -37.11%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -3.78%E -0.620%K -0.741%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 14:01
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.21%EV -3.98%E -3.49%K -28.44%G +0.000%6.08I 16.45%NM 15.79%EV -4.10%E -0.674%K -0.807%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 13:59
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -4.82%E -4.27%K -37.11%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -4.57%E -0.755%K -0.905%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 16:11
Winamax (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.14%E -2.73%K -20.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-10 16:30
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.98%E -3.49%K -28.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.82%E -4.27%K -37.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.82%E -4.27%K -37.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 13:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.82%E -4.27%K -37.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.82%E -4.27%K -37.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.82%E -4.27%K -37.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.82%E -4.27%K -37.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Casumo🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.82%E -4.27%K -37.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.82%E -4.27%K -37.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Grosvenor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.82%E -4.27%K -37.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:01
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.82%E -4.27%K -37.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.82%E -4.27%K -37.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 19:15
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.82%E -4.27%K -37.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Bet Right🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.82%E -4.27%K -37.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Betsson🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.82%E -4.27%K -37.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
NordicBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.82%E -4.27%K -37.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.82%E -4.27%K -37.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.82%E -4.27%K -37.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.82%E -4.27%K -37.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.82%E -4.27%K -37.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.82%E -4.27%K -37.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 19:25
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 19:20
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 14:00
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 17:00
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 17:01
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 17:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 17:00
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.36%E -0.893%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 18:24
Fliff🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -6.51%E -5.86%K -59.17%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -6.94%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 16:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.82%E -4.27%K -37.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.51%E -1.47%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 16:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.82%E -4.27%K -37.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 14:00
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.82%E -4.27%K -37.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 19:20
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.82%E -4.27%K -37.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 17:15
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -10.09%E -1.77%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.98%E -3.49%K -28.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.25%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 16:11
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.25%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 14:00
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.25%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 13:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.46%EV -8.19%E -7.52%K -91.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.25%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-10 18:35
Neds🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.82%E -4.27%K -37.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -14.82%E -2.75%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.82%E -4.27%K -37.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -14.82%E -2.75%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.68%EV -6.51%E -5.86%K -59.17%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -16.40%E -3.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-10 15:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-10-10 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-10-10 19:25
Matchbook◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-10-10 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-10-10 20:10
Novig◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-10-10 19:45
ProphetX◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.35%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.65%1.9%2026-10-10 20:05
Smarkets◎1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%4.8%2026-10-10 20:05