Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Hubert Hurkacz v Yi Zhou

2026-10-11 05:10 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Hubert Hurkacz (Local)

Predicción 84.18%1.19momio equitativo
EV -3.19%
Ventaja -2.78%
Kelly -21.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
82.68%84.23%84.15%85.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.091.131.131.1591.74%88.74%88.50%86.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Yi Zhou (Visitante)

Predicción 15.82%6.32momio equitativo
EV +6.32%
Ventaja +0.940%
Kelly +1.10%
Crecimiento +0.070%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.32%15.77%15.85%17.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.305.956.006.7218.87%16.79%16.67%14.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Hubert Hurkacz (Local): 84.18%; Yi Zhou (Visitante): 15.82%. Para Yi Zhou (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 6.32. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 6.72, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +6.32%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.50%EV -4.04%E -3.54%K -28.83%G +0.000%6.72I 14.88%NM 14.50%EV +6.32%E +0.940%K +1.10%G +0.070%2.6%2026-10-10 19:30
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.68%EV -6.56%E -5.91%K -59.65%G +0.000%6.64I 15.06%NM 14.32%EV +5.05%E +0.761%K +0.896%G +0.045%5.2%2026-10-10 20:45
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +2.84%E +0.436%K +0.516%G +0.015%4.7%2026-10-10 20:48
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.52%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -0.328%E -0.052%K -0.062%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 16:10
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.66%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.12%E -0.179%K -0.213%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 20:45
Fanatics🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.52%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -3.49%E -0.572%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 13:59
Coolbet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.52%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -3.49%E -0.572%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 14:01
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.21%EV -4.04%E -3.54%K -28.83%G +0.000%6.08I 16.45%NM 15.79%EV -3.81%E -0.626%K -0.750%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 13:59
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.52%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -4.28%E -0.708%K -0.848%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 16:11
Winamax (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.19%E -2.78%K -21.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -5.07%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-10 16:30
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.04%E -3.54%K -28.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.07%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.07%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.07%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 13:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.07%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.07%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.07%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.07%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Casumo🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.07%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.07%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Grosvenor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.07%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:01
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.07%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.07%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 19:15
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.07%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Bet Right🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.07%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Betsson🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.07%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
NordicBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.07%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.07%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.07%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.07%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.07%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.07%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.07%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 19:25
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.07%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.07%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 19:20
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.07%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.07%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.07%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.07%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 14:00
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.07%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 17:00
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.07%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 17:01
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.07%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 17:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.07%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -4.04%E -3.54%K -28.83%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -5.71%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 20:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -4.04%E -3.54%K -28.83%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -5.71%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 20:45
Fliff🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -6.56%E -5.91%K -59.65%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -6.66%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 16:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.24%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 16:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.03%E -1.57%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 14:00
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.03%E -1.57%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 19:20
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.03%E -1.57%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 17:15
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.66%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -9.82%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.04%E -3.54%K -28.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.98%E -2.36%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 16:11
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.98%E -2.36%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 14:00
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.98%E -2.36%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 13:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.46%EV -8.24%E -7.56%K -91.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -12.98%E -2.36%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-10 18:35
Neds🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -14.57%E -2.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -14.57%E -2.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.68%EV -6.56%E -5.91%K -59.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -16.15%E -3.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-10 15:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%0.2%2026-10-10 20:46
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-10-10 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-10-10 20:10
Matchbook◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-10-10 20:50
ProphetX◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.24%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.76%1.1%2026-10-10 20:10
Novig◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-10-10 19:45
Smarkets◎1.14I 87.72%NM 85.27%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.73%2.9%2026-10-10 20:50