The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Hubert Hurkacz v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Kickoff: 2026-10-13 13:06 UTC

Final: Hubert Hurkacz 1–2 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hubert Hurkacz (Local)

Prediction 50.57%1.98fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -0.976%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.94%50.68%50.39%53.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.881.871.9455.87%53.27%53.48%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Visit)

Prediction 49.43%2.02fair odd
EV +0.836%
Edge +0.410%
Kelly +0.804%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 2.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.74%49.32%49.61%51.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.911.912.0456.18%52.32%52.36%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hubert Hurkacz (Local): 50.57%; Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Visit): 49.43%. For Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.02. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.04, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.836%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -9.48%E -5.30%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV +0.836%E +0.410%K +0.804%G +0.007%4.9%2026-10-13 11:50
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -8.47%E -4.68%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -0.647%E -0.322%K -0.640%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-12 08:49
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.41%E -1.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.14%E -0.570%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.4%2026-10-13 11:00
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.14%E -0.570%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-13 10:09
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.46%E -4.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.14%E -0.570%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-13 10:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.46%E -4.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.14%E -0.570%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-12 11:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.97%E -4.99%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.14%E -0.570%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 10:09
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.13%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-13 10:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.94%E -3.19%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.12%E -1.59%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-13 11:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.94%E -3.19%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.12%E -1.59%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-13 10:59
BetAnything🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.94%E -3.19%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.12%E -1.59%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-13 11:00
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.43%E -2.91%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.61%E -1.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-13 12:34
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.61%E -1.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 08:24
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.61%E -1.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 08:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.61%E -1.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 08:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.61%E -1.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 08:29
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.61%E -1.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 10:58
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.61%E -1.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 08:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -2.90%E -1.51%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -4.11%E -2.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-13 12:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.43%E -2.91%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.11%E -2.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-13 12:44
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.94%E -3.19%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.11%E -2.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 12:39
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.60%E -2.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 10:55
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.90%E -1.51%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-13 12:39
Betsson🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.42%E -2.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-13 12:39
NordicBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.42%E -2.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-13 12:40
ReBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.42%E -2.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-13 12:39
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.42%E -2.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-13 12:35
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.41%E -1.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.93%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-13 12:35
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.41%E -1.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.93%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-13 12:35
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.41%E -1.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.93%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-13 11:35
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.93%E -2.62%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.59%E -2.93%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-13 12:49
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.43%E -2.91%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.59%E -2.93%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-13 00:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.59%E -2.93%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-13 00:50
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.59%E -2.93%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-13 00:55
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.46%E -4.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.59%E -2.93%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-13 01:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.06%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.08%E -3.20%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 12:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.93%E -2.62%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.08%E -3.20%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-13 12:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.43%E -2.91%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.08%E -3.20%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-13 12:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.43%E -2.91%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.08%E -3.20%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-13 00:54
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.43%E -2.91%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.08%E -3.20%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-13 00:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.97%E -4.99%K -11.22%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.08%E -3.20%K -6.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-13 12:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.43%E -2.91%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.57%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-13 12:35
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.46%E -4.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.57%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-13 12:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -1.89%E -0.976%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -8.06%E -4.33%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 12:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -1.89%E -0.976%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -8.06%E -4.33%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 12:34
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -1.89%E -0.976%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -8.06%E -4.33%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 12:34
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.40%E -1.24%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.56%E -4.62%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 12:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.40%E -1.24%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.56%E -4.62%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 12:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.40%E -1.24%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.56%E -4.62%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 12:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.40%E -1.24%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.56%E -4.62%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 12:35
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.40%E -1.24%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.56%E -4.62%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 12:35
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.40%E -1.24%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.56%E -4.62%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 12:35
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.40%E -1.24%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.56%E -4.62%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 12:35
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.40%E -1.24%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.56%E -4.62%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 12:34
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.40%E -1.24%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.56%E -4.62%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 12:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.40%E -1.24%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.56%E -4.62%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 12:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.40%E -1.24%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.56%E -4.62%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 12:34
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.56%E -4.62%K -10.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-13 11:01
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.56%E -4.62%K -10.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-13 11:01
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -7.96%E -4.37%K -9.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -8.56%E -4.62%K -10.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-13 12:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.04%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%EV -12.02%E -6.75%K -15.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-13 12:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-10-13 12:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-10-13 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-10-13 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-10-13 12:50
Matchbook◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-10-13 12:50
Novig◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.5%2026-10-13 12:50
Smarkets◎1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%2.3%2026-10-13 12:50