The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
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Hubert Hurkacz v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

2026-10-13 04:00 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hubert Hurkacz (Local)

Prediction 50.95%1.96fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -3.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.99%50.92%52.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.851.871.9056.82%53.99%53.48%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Visit)

Prediction 49.05%2.04fair odd
EV -0.420%
Edge -0.207%
Kelly -0.408%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.95%49.01%49.08%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.921.922.0355.25%52.10%52.08%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hubert Hurkacz (Local): 50.95%; Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Visit): 49.05%. For Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.03, with an expected value of -0.420%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.69%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.80%E -3.58%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 17:24
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.71%E -1.96%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-11 18:28
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.22%E -2.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 18:19
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.22%E -2.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 18:20
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.22%E -2.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.22%E -2.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 18:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.22%E -2.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 18:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.22%E -2.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 18:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.22%E -2.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 17:35
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.22%E -2.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 17:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.22%E -2.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 17:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.22%E -2.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 17:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.22%E -2.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 17:34
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.22%E -2.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 17:34
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.22%E -2.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 17:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.22%E -2.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 17:35
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.22%E -2.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 17:35
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.22%E -2.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 17:35
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.22%E -2.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 17:35
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.22%E -2.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 17:33
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.22%E -2.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 17:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.22%E -2.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 17:35
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.78%E -4.14%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-11 18:25
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.05%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.95%EV -0.420%E -0.207%K -0.408%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-11 18:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 17:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.27%E -4.42%K -9.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 17:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.92%EV -5.24%E -2.82%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-11 18:23
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 17:15
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 18:20
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 18:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -7.29%E -3.86%K -8.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 18:19
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.87%E -1.45%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 18:49
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 18:19
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 19:30
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 18:19
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 18:19
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 18:19
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 18:20
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.78%E -4.14%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-11 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.28%E -4.00%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -4.34%E -2.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 18:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.28%E -4.00%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.83%E -2.49%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-11 19:29
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.28%E -4.00%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.83%E -2.49%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-11 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-11 19:29
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-11 19:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.80%E -3.58%K -7.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-11 19:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.25%E -5.00%K -10.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-11 17:35
ReBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.69%EV -8.81%E -4.92%K -11.15%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.31%EV -9.74%E -5.29%K -11.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-11 18:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.56%EV -9.32%E -5.23%K -11.94%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.44%EV -10.72%E -5.89%K -13.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-11 18:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.70%EV -10.34%E -5.87%K -13.60%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.30%EV -11.21%E -6.19%K -13.84%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-11 18:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%5.7%2026-10-11 18:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%5.7%2026-10-11 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%5.7%2026-10-11 18:25
Novig◎1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%7.6%2026-10-11 18:55
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 50.56%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.44%12.4%2026-10-11 18:20