Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Casper Ruud v Felix Auger-Aliassime

2026-10-14 04:00 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Casper Ruud (Local)

Prediction 43.27%2.31fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.16%43.42%43.21%45.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.192.202.2548.78%45.68%45.45%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Visit)

Prediction 56.73%1.76fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.743%
Kelly -1.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.67%56.58%56.79%57.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.651.651.7463.69%60.48%60.61%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Casper Ruud (Local): 43.27%; Felix Auger-Aliassime (Visit): 56.73%. For Felix Auger-Aliassime (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.74, with an expected value of -1.29%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 13:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 11:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 11:09
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 11:09
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 11:09
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 11:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 11:09
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 11:09
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 11:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 11:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 11:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 11:09
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 11:09
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 11:08
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 11:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 11:09
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.07%E -1.37%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.83%E -3.51%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-12 12:00
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.94%E -1.77%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-12 12:53
FanDuel🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.94%E -1.77%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-12 11:35
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.94%E -1.77%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-12 11:34
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.94%E -1.77%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-12 11:35
Pinnacle🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -1.29%E -0.743%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-12 13:20
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-12 12:50
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-12 11:24
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-12 11:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-12 12:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.83%E -3.51%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-12 12:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.26%EV -5.23%E -2.39%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.74%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 12:55
Bet Right🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.67%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 13:10
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -5.67%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-12 11:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.10%E -2.81%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-12 12:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-12 12:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-12 13:10
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-12 12:55
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-12 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-12 12:49
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-12 12:49
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-12 12:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-12 12:04
PMU (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -10.94%E -6.97%K -19.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-12 11:09
GTbets🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -7.40%E -3.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -3.56%E -2.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-12 11:19
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.13%E -4.35%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.86%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 11:19
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.13%E -4.35%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-12 12:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.13%E -4.35%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-12 12:54
ReBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 43.51%EV -9.56%E -4.58%K -8.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.49%EV -8.67%E -5.38%K -14.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-12 12:49
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.29%E -5.51%K -10.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.56%E -2.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-12 11:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.29%E -5.51%K -10.76%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -10.37%E -6.56%K -17.88%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-12 12:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.29%E -5.51%K -10.76%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -10.37%E -6.56%K -17.88%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-12 12:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%4.1%2026-10-12 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%4.1%2026-10-12 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%4.1%2026-10-12 12:50
Novig◎2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%5.0%2026-10-12 12:50
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%5.6%2026-10-12 13:15
Matchbook◎2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%8.0%2026-10-12 12:50