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Botic van de Zandschulp v Rafael Jodar
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Botic van de Zandschulp (Local)
Prediction 36.32%2.75fair odd
EV +0.601%
Edge +0.217%
Kelly +0.340%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.67%36.33%36.49%38.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.602.622.7740.82%38.51%38.17%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rafael Jodar (Visit)
Prediction 63.68%1.57fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.834%
Kelly -2.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.71%63.67%63.51%65.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.491.481.5570.42%67.17%67.57%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Botic van de Zandschulp (Local): 36.32%; Rafael Jodar (Visit): 63.68%. For Botic van de Zandschulp (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.75. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.601%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV +0.601%E +0.217%K +0.340%G +0.002% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -6.39%E -4.35%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-13 23:37 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.125%E -0.045%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-14 02:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -0.851%E -0.312%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 23:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.94%E -0.719%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.39%E -4.35%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-14 02:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.94%E -0.719%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.39%E -4.35%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-14 02:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.34%EV -2.30%E -0.857%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.66%EV -6.39%E -4.35%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 03:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -3.03%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -1.93%E -1.25%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-10-13 23:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.76%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-14 00:57 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.76%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.75%E -3.89%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.76%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.39%E -4.35%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 02:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.76%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.39%E -4.35%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-13 16:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -3.76%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-13 08:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -4.48%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.57%E -1.68%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-14 03:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -4.48%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.57%E -1.68%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-14 03:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -4.48%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.75%E -3.89%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 08:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -4.48%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.75%E -3.89%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -4.48%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.75%E -3.89%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 08:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -4.48%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.75%E -3.89%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -4.48%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.75%E -3.89%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -4.48%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.75%E -3.89%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 08:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -4.48%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.75%E -3.89%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 08:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -4.48%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.75%E -3.89%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -4.48%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.75%E -3.89%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -4.48%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.75%E -3.89%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -4.48%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.75%E -3.89%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 08:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -4.48%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.75%E -3.89%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -4.48%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.75%E -3.89%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 08:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -4.48%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.75%E -3.89%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.85%E -1.85%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 23:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.85%E -1.85%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.30%E -5.76%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-14 03:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.85%E -1.85%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.30%E -5.76%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-14 03:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 15:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.57%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.57%E -1.68%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-13 19:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.57%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-14 03:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.57%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-14 03:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.57%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.75%E -3.89%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-13 23:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.57%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.39%E -4.35%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-14 03:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.57%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.39%E -4.35%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-14 02:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.57%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.39%E -4.35%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-14 03:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.57%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-14 03:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -6.30%E -2.44%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -3.20%E -2.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-14 03:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -6.66%E -2.59%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -3.20%E -2.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-12 15:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -7.03%E -2.74%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -3.84%E -2.54%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 03:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.39%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-13 23:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -7.75%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-13 08:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.29%E -0.834%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-14 03:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.57%E -1.68%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 21:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.57%E -1.68%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 19:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.57%E -1.68%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 19:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.57%E -1.68%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 19:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.57%E -1.68%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 19:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-13 21:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-13 21:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.48%E -2.98%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-13 17:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.75%E -3.89%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.75%E -3.89%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-13 08:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -8.93%E -6.25%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-13 08:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.78%EV -9.57%E -6.74%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-14 02:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -11.02%E -4.50%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.20%E -2.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -11.02%E -4.50%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.20%E -2.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-13 08:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 0.3% | 2026-10-14 03:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 0.5% | 2026-10-14 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 0.5% | 2026-10-14 03:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 0.5% | 2026-10-14 03:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 0.7% | 2026-10-14 03:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.67I 37.45%NM 37.03% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.97% | 1.1% | 2026-10-14 03:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18% | 2.1% | 2026-10-14 03:55 |