Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Botic van de Zandschulp v Rafael Jodar

2026-10-14 04:00 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Botic van de Zandschulp (Local)

Prévision 36.83%2.71cote équitable
EV +3.13%
Avantage +1.12%
Kelly +1.74%
Croissance +0.055%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.27%36.80%36.72%38.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.562.602.8041.67%39.08%38.46%35.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Rafael Jodar (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.17%1.58cote équitable
EV -1.46%
Avantage -0.936%
Kelly -2.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.22%63.20%63.28%65.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.431.501.501.5669.93%66.89%66.67%64.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Botic van de Zandschulp (Local) : 36.83% ; Rafael Jodar (Visiteur) : 63.17%. Pour Botic van de Zandschulp (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.71. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.80, pour une espérance positive de +3.13%.

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV +3.13%E +1.12%K +1.74%G +0.055%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -7.78%E -5.33%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-12 20:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV +1.66%E +0.602%K +0.943%G +0.016%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -9.04%E -6.28%K -20.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-12 20:30
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.13%E -1.19%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 20:19
FanDuel🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.50%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-12 20:20
GTbets🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -3.86%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-12 15:34
Pinnacle🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.09%E -1.35%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-12 19:54
BetAnything🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.36%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-12 19:45
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 20:32
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 20:14
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 19:54
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 19:53
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 20:29
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 20:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 20:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 20:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 20:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 20:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 20:29
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 20:29
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 20:29
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 20:29
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 20:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 20:30
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 20:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 20:29
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 17:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 20:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.88%E -3.95%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-12 19:53
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.51%E -4.40%K -13.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-12 15:34
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.41%E -5.80%K -18.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-12 20:14
Bet Right🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.45%EV -4.97%E -1.93%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.55%EV -6.51%E -4.40%K -13.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-12 20:34
DraftKings🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -5.34%E -2.08%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -3.99%E -2.62%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 15:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.88%E -3.95%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-12 20:04
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.51%E -4.40%K -13.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-12 19:55
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.15%E -4.86%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-12 20:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.41%E -5.80%K -18.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-12 19:54
BetMGM🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.44%E -2.54%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-12 14:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -6.81%E -2.69%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -1.46%E -0.936%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-12 20:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -6.81%E -2.69%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -1.46%E -0.936%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-12 20:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.36%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 20:14
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.36%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 15:29
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.36%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 15:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.36%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.36%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 15:29
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.99%E -2.62%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-12 15:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.51%E -4.40%K -13.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-12 14:49
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.51%E -4.40%K -13.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-12 14:49
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.51%E -4.40%K -13.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-12 19:55
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.15%E -4.86%K -15.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-12 15:34
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.41%E -5.80%K -18.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-12 17:56
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.41%E -5.80%K -18.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-12 17:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.57%EV -8.65%E -3.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.43%EV -9.67%E -6.76%K -22.49%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-12 20:29
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -9.76%E -3.98%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.99%E -2.62%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-12 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -9.76%E -3.98%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.99%E -2.62%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-12 14:49
ReBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.76%E -3.98%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -8.41%E -5.80%K -18.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-12 19:54
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -11.60%E -4.83%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.99%E -2.62%K -7.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-12 20:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -11.60%E -4.83%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -9.67%E -6.76%K -22.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-12 19:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -11.60%E -4.83%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -9.67%E -6.76%K -22.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-12 19:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%0.2%2026-10-12 18:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%0.2%2026-10-12 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%0.2%2026-10-12 18:19
Smarkets◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.0%2026-10-12 20:40
Novig◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.1%2026-10-12 20:25
Matchbook◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%3.1%2026-10-12 16:00
Arbitrage (2 combinaisons) +0.18%1xBet 2.80 (35.8%) / BetOnline.ag 1.56 (64.2%)Afficher les 2 combinaisons
Botic van de Zandschulp (Local)Rafael Jodar (Visiteur)Marge
1xBet🎯 2.80 (35.8%)BetOnline.ag🎯 1.56 (64.2%)+0.183%
1xBet🎯 2.80 (35.8%)LowVig.ag🎯 1.56 (64.2%)+0.183%