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Arthur Fils v Botic van de Zandschulp
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arthur Fils (Local)
Prediction 78.28%1.28fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -2.36%
Kelly -12.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.88%78.32%78.21%81.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.211.221.2487.72%82.59%81.97%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Botic van de Zandschulp (Visit)
Prediction 21.72%4.60fair odd
EV +8.58%
Edge +1.72%
Kelly +2.14%
Growth +0.184%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.57%21.68%21.79%24.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.344.255.0025.64%23.04%23.53%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arthur Fils (Local): 78.28%; Botic van de Zandschulp (Visit): 21.72%. For Botic van de Zandschulp (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.60. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -10.76%E -9.44%K -76.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +8.58%E +1.72%K +2.14%G +0.184% | 7.7% | 2026-10-12 10:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -7.62%E -6.46%K -42.36%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV +7.49%E +1.51%K +1.90%G +0.142% | 4.9% | 2026-10-12 10:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.84%E -5.75%K -36.01%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +5.32%E +1.10%K +1.38%G +0.074% | 4.7% | 2026-10-12 10:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -9.19%E -7.92%K -57.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +3.15%E +0.663%K +0.840%G +0.026% | 7.3% | 2026-10-12 09:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -7.62%E -6.46%K -42.36%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +2.06%E +0.439%K +0.558%G +0.012% | 6.0% | 2026-10-12 10:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.22%EV -3.71%E -3.02%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.78%EV +1.85%E +0.394%K +0.501%G +0.009% | 2.6% | 2026-10-12 09:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.107%E -0.023%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-12 10:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.28%E -4.36%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -2.06%E -0.457%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-12 09:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.28%E -4.36%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -2.06%E -0.457%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-12 09:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.28%E -0.506%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 17:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.28%E -0.506%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-12 10:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.28%E -4.36%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.28%E -0.506%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-12 10:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.28%E -4.36%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.28%E -0.506%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-12 10:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.28%E -4.36%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.28%E -0.506%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-12 10:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.28%E -0.506%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-12 10:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.28%E -0.506%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-12 10:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.66%EV -5.28%E -4.36%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.34%EV -3.15%E -0.706%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 16:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.19%EV -3.71%E -3.02%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.81%EV -4.23%E -0.960%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-12 10:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.45%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 16:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.45%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-12 09:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.41%E -7.19%K -49.46%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -4.45%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-12 07:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.28%E -4.36%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.54%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-12 10:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.62%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 02:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.28%E -4.36%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.62%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-12 09:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.28%E -4.36%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.62%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-12 10:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.62%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 15:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.62%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-12 10:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.62%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-12 10:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.71%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 23:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.71%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 17:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.71%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 17:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.71%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 17:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.71%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 17:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.71%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 17:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.71%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 17:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.71%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 17:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.71%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 17:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.71%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 17:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.71%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 17:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.71%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 17:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.71%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 17:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.71%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 17:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.71%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 17:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.71%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.28%E -4.36%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.71%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-11 19:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.79%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-12 10:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.79%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 04:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.79%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.79%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 06:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.79%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 06:16 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.79%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 06:21 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.79%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 04:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.79%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 04:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.79%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-12 09:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-12 02:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-12 02:48 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -7.62%E -6.46%K -42.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-10 16:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -2.93%E -2.36%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -15.31%E -3.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 06:16 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -2.93%E -2.36%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -15.31%E -3.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 06:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 0.2% | 2026-10-12 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 0.2% | 2026-10-12 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 0.2% | 2026-10-12 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 0.2% | 2026-10-12 10:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.68% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 21.32% | 0.9% | 2026-10-12 10:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74% | 2.6% | 2026-10-12 10:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.08% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.92% | 2.8% | 2026-10-12 10:25 |