Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Arthur Fils v Botic van de Zandschulp

2026-10-12 04:00 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Arthur Fils (Local)

Prévision 77.78%1.29cote équitable
EV -1.99%
Avantage -1.58%
Kelly -7.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.60%77.66%77.80%79.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.181.221.221.2684.75%82.18%81.97%79.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Botic van de Zandschulp (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.22%4.50cote équitable
EV -0.030%
Avantage -0.007%
Kelly -0.008%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.77%22.34%22.20%25.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.704.204.304.5027.03%23.82%23.26%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Arthur Fils (Local) : 77.78% ; Botic van de Zandschulp (Visiteur) : 22.22%. Pour Botic van de Zandschulp (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.501. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 4.500, pour une espérance de -0.030% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -1.99%E -1.58%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -17.80%E -4.81%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -1.99%E -1.58%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -17.80%E -4.81%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 16:15
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.28%EV -3.55%E -2.86%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.72%EV -0.696%E -0.156%K -0.201%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-10 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -3.55%E -2.86%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -3.58%E -0.826%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-10 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -3.55%E -2.86%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -3.58%E -0.826%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-10 16:30
1xBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.55%E -2.86%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 16:15
PlayUp🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.55%E -2.86%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.14%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 16:05
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.55%E -2.86%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.14%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 16:15
FanDuel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.030%E -0.007%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 17:10
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.030%E -0.007%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 17:54
GTbets🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.25%E -0.512%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 16:40
Bet Right🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 16:49
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 16:05
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 16:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 16:45
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 16:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 16:46
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 16:46
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 16:46
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 16:46
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 16:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 16:46
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 16:50
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 16:50
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 16:50
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 16:49
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.58%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 15:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.58%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 17:30
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 16:05
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 16:05
Fanatics🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 16:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -7.81%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 16:20
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.14%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 21:00
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -13.36%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.10%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -13.36%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 16:15
DraftKings🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.66%EV -5.88%E -4.86%K -28.00%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.34%EV -0.918%E -0.206%K -0.265%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 16:40
Fliff🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.43%EV -5.88%E -4.86%K -28.00%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -7.81%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 17:09
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.81%E -0.879%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 17:15
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.81%E -0.879%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 17:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 15:25
theScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.58%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 15:25
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.92%E -2.17%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-10 15:50
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.14%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 16:12
betano_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.14%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 16:14
ReBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -7.44%E -6.25%K -39.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -14.47%E -3.76%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-10 16:05
SportsBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.21%E -6.96%K -45.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.030%E -0.007%K -0.008%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 16:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -8.21%E -6.96%K -45.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -11.14%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-10 16:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -8.21%E -6.96%K -45.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -16.69%E -4.45%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-10 16:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.82%EV -8.21%E -6.96%K -45.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -17.80%E -4.81%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-10 16:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%2.2%2026-10-10 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%2.6%2026-10-10 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%2.6%2026-10-10 20:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%2.6%2026-10-10 20:30
Novig◎1.23I 81.30%NM 78.72%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.28%3.3%2026-10-10 20:40