StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alexander Zverev v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

2026-10-17 04:00 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Matchresultat

61 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alexander Zverev (Hemma)

Prognos 73.51%1.36rättvist odds
EV -2.96%
Fördel -2.25%
Kelly -9.26%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.32

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
71.43%73.75%73.47%75.45%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.201.281.271.3283.33%78.37%78.74%75.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Borta)

Prognos 26.49%3.78rättvist odds
EV +3.30%
Fördel +0.847%
Kelly +1.14%
Tillväxt +0.038%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.55%26.25%26.53%28.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.203.633.603.9031.25%27.52%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Alexander Zverev (Hemma): 73.51%; Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Borta): 26.49%. För Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.78. 18 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 3.90, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +3.30%.

Spelbolagsodds (61 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -6.64%E -5.23%K -24.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +3.30%E +0.847%K +1.14%G +0.038%4.4%2026-10-15 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -6.64%E -5.23%K -24.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +3.30%E +0.847%K +1.14%G +0.038%4.4%2026-10-15 17:50
BetAnything🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.64%E -5.23%K -24.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +1.98%E +0.514%K +0.694%G +0.014%4.7%2026-10-15 17:55
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.37%E -5.85%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +1.98%E +0.514%K +0.694%G +0.014%5.3%2026-10-15 13:50
Casumo🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.37%E -5.85%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +1.98%E +0.514%K +0.694%G +0.014%5.3%2026-10-15 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.37%E -5.85%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +1.98%E +0.514%K +0.694%G +0.014%5.3%2026-10-15 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.37%E -5.85%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +1.98%E +0.514%K +0.694%G +0.014%5.3%2026-10-15 13:50
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.37%E -5.85%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +1.98%E +0.514%K +0.694%G +0.014%5.3%2026-10-15 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.37%E -5.85%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +1.98%E +0.514%K +0.694%G +0.014%5.3%2026-10-15 13:50
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.37%E -5.85%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +1.98%E +0.514%K +0.694%G +0.014%5.3%2026-10-15 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.37%E -5.85%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +1.98%E +0.514%K +0.694%G +0.014%5.3%2026-10-15 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.37%E -5.85%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +1.98%E +0.514%K +0.694%G +0.014%5.3%2026-10-15 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.37%E -5.85%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +1.98%E +0.514%K +0.694%G +0.014%5.3%2026-10-15 13:50
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.37%E -5.85%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +1.98%E +0.514%K +0.694%G +0.014%5.3%2026-10-15 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.37%E -5.85%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +1.98%E +0.514%K +0.694%G +0.014%5.3%2026-10-15 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.37%E -5.85%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +1.98%E +0.514%K +0.694%G +0.014%5.3%2026-10-15 13:50
Bally Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.37%E -5.85%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +1.98%E +0.514%K +0.694%G +0.014%5.3%2026-10-15 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.11%E -6.49%K -32.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +0.653%E +0.172%K +0.233%G +0.002%6.3%2026-10-15 16:55
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%EV -5.17%E -4.01%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -0.142%E -0.038%K -0.051%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-15 18:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.64%E -5.23%K -24.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.671%E -0.179%K -0.244%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-15 12:50
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.31%E -8.45%K -46.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -0.671%E -0.179%K -0.244%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-15 14:15
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.31%E -8.45%K -46.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -0.671%E -0.179%K -0.244%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-15 14:14
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.60%EV -2.96%E -2.25%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.40%EV -2.53%E -0.686%K -0.942%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-15 20:05
Betsson🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.17%E -4.01%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.32%E -0.910%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-15 17:50
NordicBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.17%E -4.01%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.32%E -0.910%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-15 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.90%E -4.61%K -21.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -3.32%E -0.910%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-15 17:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.26%EV -11.79%E -9.82%K -58.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -3.32%E -0.910%K -1.25%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-15 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -5.90%E -4.61%K -21.09%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -3.59%E -0.985%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 20:15
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -5.90%E -4.61%K -21.09%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -4.11%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-15 18:00
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.70%E -2.82%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-15 18:07
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.70%E -2.82%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-15 15:13
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.43%E -3.41%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 18:19
Bet Right🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.17%E -4.01%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 17:50
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.17%E -4.01%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 17:48
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.17%E -4.01%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 18:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.64%E -5.23%K -24.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-15 17:50
SportsBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.64%E -5.23%K -24.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-15 18:19
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.64%E -5.23%K -24.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-15 18:19
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.43%E -3.41%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 20:09
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.17%E -4.01%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-15 17:50
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.88%EV -3.70%E -2.82%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -6.76%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 15:15
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.43%E -3.41%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-15 18:20
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.43%E -3.41%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-15 17:45
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.43%E -3.41%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-15 15:10
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.43%E -3.41%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-15 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.43%E -3.41%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-15 17:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.43%E -3.41%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-15 17:45
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.43%E -3.41%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-15 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.17%E -4.01%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-15 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.90%E -4.61%K -21.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-15 15:14
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.90%E -4.61%K -21.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-15 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.64%E -5.23%K -24.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-15 17:49
picklebet_au🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.11%E -6.49%K -32.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-15 17:50
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.43%E -3.41%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-15 15:14
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -7.37%E -5.85%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-15 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.43%E -3.41%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-15 18:20
ReBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.77%EV -8.11%E -6.49%K -32.44%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.23%EV -11.53%E -3.45%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-15 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -2.96%E -2.25%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-15 15:15
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -2.96%E -2.25%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-15 15:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.38%EV -8.84%E -7.13%K -36.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-15 17:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.07%EV -8.84%E -7.13%K -36.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -15.24%E -4.76%K -6.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-15 17:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-10-15 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-10-15 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-10-15 18:15
Smarkets◎1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%2.6%2026-10-15 20:15
Novig◎1.32I 75.76%NM 73.01%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.99%3.8%2026-10-15 20:10