Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Alexander Bublik v Brandon Nakashima

2026-10-11 07:30 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Zwycięzca spotkania

59 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Alexander Bublik (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 45.10%2.22kurs godziwy
EV +1.48%
Przewaga +0.657%
Kelly +1.18%
Wzrost +0.017%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
42.26%45.02%45.17%47.34%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.982.092.102.2550.51%47.74%47.62%44.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Brandon Nakashima (Goście)

Prognoza 54.90%1.82kurs godziwy
EV +0.465%
Przewaga +0.254%
Kelly +0.561%
Wzrost +0.003%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.83

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
52.66%54.98%54.83%57.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.611.731.721.8362.11%57.93%58.14%54.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Dla rynku Zwycięzca spotkania model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacuje prawdopodobieństwa następująco: Alexander Bublik (Gospodarze): 45.10%; Brandon Nakashima (Goście): 54.90%. Dla wyniku Alexander Bublik (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiada uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.22. 1 bukmacher oferuje kurs powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy dostępny kurs wynosi 2.25, co daje dodatnią wartość oczekiwaną +1.48%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (59 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +1.48%E +0.657%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -8.32%E -4.98%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 14:00
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -0.778%E -0.354%K -0.648%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.61%E -7.21%K -19.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 19:33
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -0.778%E -0.354%K -0.648%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.61%E -7.21%K -19.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 19:37
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -3.38%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-10 19:54
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 20:35
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 19:56
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -9.97%E -6.08%K -15.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 20:20
Betsson🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.48%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 20:40
NordicBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.48%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 20:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -3.93%E -1.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 20:30
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:51
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:51
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:50
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:50
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:49
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:51
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:51
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:50
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:50
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV +0.465%E +0.254%K +0.561%G +0.003%2.3%2026-10-10 20:45
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.38%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 19:46
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 19:46
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 20:20
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 20:35
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.48%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 20:35
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.48%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 20:31
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 20:10
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 20:30
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 19:51
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 19:51
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 19:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 19:50
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 20:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 19:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 20:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 19:50
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.22%E -4.27%K -10.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 20:30
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.85%EV -5.74%E -2.75%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.15%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 20:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.18%E -0.657%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 20:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.18%E -0.657%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 20:55
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 19:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 20:50
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 20:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 20:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -8.87%E -5.34%K -13.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-10 20:31
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.72%EV -7.99%E -3.92%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.28%EV -9.42%E -5.71%K -14.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-10 19:50
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.28%E -1.28%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 20:31
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 20:35
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 19:55
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 20:35
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -10.70%E -5.40%K -10.92%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -2.28%E -1.28%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 20:35
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -10.70%E -5.40%K -10.92%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -2.28%E -1.28%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 20:35
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-10-10 20:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-10-10 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-10-10 20:55
Matchbook◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-10-10 20:55
Novig◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-10-10 20:45
ProphetX◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%1.6%2026-10-10 20:45
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.3%2026-10-10 20:55
Arbitraż (1 kombinacja) +0.92%BoyleSports 2.25 (44.9%) / Pinnacle 1.83 (55.1%)Pokaż szczegóły
Alexander Bublik (Gospodarze)Brandon Nakashima (Goście)Marża
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (44.9%)Pinnacle🎯 1.83 (55.1%)+0.919%