Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alexander Bublik v Brandon Nakashima

2026-10-11 07:30 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alexander Bublik (Local)

Prévision 45.10%2.22cote équitable
EV +1.48%
Avantage +0.657%
Kelly +1.18%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.26%45.02%45.17%47.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.982.092.102.2550.51%47.74%47.62%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Brandon Nakashima (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.90%1.82cote équitable
EV +0.465%
Avantage +0.254%
Kelly +0.561%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.66%54.98%54.83%57.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.611.731.721.8362.11%57.93%58.14%54.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Alexander Bublik (Local) : 45.10% ; Brandon Nakashima (Visiteur) : 54.90%. Pour Alexander Bublik (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.22. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.25, pour une espérance positive de +1.48%.

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +1.48%E +0.657%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -8.32%E -4.98%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 14:00
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -0.778%E -0.354%K -0.648%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.61%E -7.21%K -19.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 19:33
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -0.778%E -0.354%K -0.648%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.61%E -7.21%K -19.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 19:37
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -3.38%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-10 19:54
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 20:35
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 19:56
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -9.97%E -6.08%K -15.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 20:20
Betsson🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.48%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 20:40
NordicBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.48%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 20:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -3.93%E -1.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 20:30
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:51
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:51
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:50
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:50
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:49
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:51
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:51
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:50
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:50
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV +0.465%E +0.254%K +0.561%G +0.003%2.3%2026-10-10 20:45
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.38%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 19:46
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 19:46
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 20:20
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 20:35
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.48%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 20:35
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.48%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 20:31
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 20:10
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 20:30
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 19:51
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 19:51
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 19:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 19:50
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 20:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 19:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 20:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 19:50
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.22%E -4.27%K -10.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 20:30
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.85%EV -5.74%E -2.75%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.15%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 20:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.18%E -0.657%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 20:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.18%E -0.657%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 20:55
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 19:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 20:50
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 20:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 20:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -8.87%E -5.34%K -13.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-10 20:31
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.72%EV -7.99%E -3.92%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.28%EV -9.42%E -5.71%K -14.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-10 19:50
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.28%E -1.28%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 20:31
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 20:35
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 19:55
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 20:35
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -10.70%E -5.40%K -10.92%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -2.28%E -1.28%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 20:35
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -10.70%E -5.40%K -10.92%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -2.28%E -1.28%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 20:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-10-10 20:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-10-10 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-10-10 20:55
Matchbook◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-10-10 20:55
Novig◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-10-10 20:45
ProphetX◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%1.6%2026-10-10 20:45
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.3%2026-10-10 20:55
Arbitrage (1 combinaison) +0.92%BoyleSports 2.25 (44.9%) / Pinnacle 1.83 (55.1%)Afficher les détails
Alexander Bublik (Local)Brandon Nakashima (Visiteur)Marge
BoyleSports🎯 2.25 (44.9%)Pinnacle🎯 1.83 (55.1%)+0.919%