Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Frances Tiafoe

2026-10-11 11:10 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local)

Previsão 50.16%1.99odd justa
EV -2.19%
Vantagem -1.12%
Kelly -2.31%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.65%50.19%50.00%51.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.891.891.9554.64%52.87%52.91%51.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Frances Tiafoe (Visitante)

Previsão 49.84%2.01odd justa
EV -1.31%
Vantagem -0.663%
Kelly -1.34%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.68%49.81%50.00%51.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.781.891.881.9856.18%52.95%53.19%50.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local): 50.16%; Frances Tiafoe (Visitante): 49.84%. Para Frances Tiafoe (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.01. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 1.98, com valor esperado de -1.31%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.19%E -1.12%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.79%E -3.63%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -2.69%E -1.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -4.30%E -2.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-10 16:30
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -2.69%E -1.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -7.29%E -3.92%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -2.69%E -1.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -7.29%E -3.92%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -2.69%E -1.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -7.29%E -3.92%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 18:40
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.20%E -1.66%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.31%E -0.663%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-10 15:25
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.20%E -1.66%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.30%E -3.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.20%E -1.66%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.79%E -4.21%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.20%E -1.66%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.79%E -4.21%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:40
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.20%E -1.66%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.79%E -4.21%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.20%E -1.66%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.79%E -4.21%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:40
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.20%E -1.66%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.79%E -4.21%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:40
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.20%E -1.66%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.79%E -4.21%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.20%E -1.66%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.79%E -4.21%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:40
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.20%E -1.66%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.79%E -4.21%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.20%E -1.66%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.79%E -4.21%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.20%E -1.66%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.79%E -4.21%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:40
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.20%E -1.66%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.79%E -4.21%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:40
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.70%E -1.93%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 20:55
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.20%E -2.20%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.51%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 13:59
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.20%E -2.20%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.51%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.20%E -2.20%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.51%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 13:59
NordicBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.20%E -2.20%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.30%E -2.79%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Betsson🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.20%E -2.20%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.30%E -2.79%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:00
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.70%E -2.47%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.31%E -1.70%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 20:20
FanDuel🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -4.70%E -2.47%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -3.80%E -1.97%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 20:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -4.70%E -2.47%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -6.30%E -3.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.70%E -2.47%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.28%E -5.71%K -12.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 13:53
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.20%E -2.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.30%E -2.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.20%E -2.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.30%E -2.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.20%E -2.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.30%E -3.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 17:10
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.70%E -3.03%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.30%E -2.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 20:20
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.21%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.80%E -2.51%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 14:01
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.21%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.30%E -2.79%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.21%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.30%E -2.79%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.21%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.30%E -2.79%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 14:01
Betr (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.21%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.30%E -2.79%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 14:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.21%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.79%E -3.63%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.21%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.79%E -3.63%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.21%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.79%E -3.63%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 13:59
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.21%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.79%E -3.63%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.21%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.79%E -3.63%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 20:20
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.21%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.79%E -3.63%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 20:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -6.21%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -7.29%E -3.92%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 15:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -6.71%E -3.61%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -2.31%E -1.18%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 20:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -6.71%E -3.61%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -2.31%E -1.18%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 20:45
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.21%E -3.90%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.81%E -1.44%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 15:35
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.21%E -3.90%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.81%E -1.44%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 15:35
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.21%E -3.90%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.81%E -1.44%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 15:25
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.21%E -3.90%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.81%E -1.44%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 21:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.21%E -3.90%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.81%E -1.44%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 15:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.21%E -3.90%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.81%E -1.44%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 15:35
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.21%E -3.90%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.21%K -9.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.21%E -3.90%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.21%K -9.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.21%E -3.90%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.21%K -9.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 14:00
ReBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.21%E -3.90%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.21%K -9.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 14:01
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.04%EV -7.21%E -3.90%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%EV -11.28%E -6.34%K -14.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.21%E -4.49%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.80%E -2.51%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 20:20
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.21%E -4.49%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.80%E -2.51%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 20:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.50%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.50%0.0%2026-10-10 20:55
ProphetX◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-10-10 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-10-10 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-10-10 20:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-10-10 20:01
Novig◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.5%2026-10-10 15:30
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-10-10 20:15