Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Frances Tiafoe

2026-10-11 11:10 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local)

Prévision 50.16%1.99cote équitable
EV -2.19%
Avantage -1.12%
Kelly -2.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.65%50.19%50.00%51.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.831.891.891.9554.64%52.87%52.91%51.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Frances Tiafoe (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.84%2.01cote équitable
EV -1.31%
Avantage -0.663%
Kelly -1.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.68%49.81%50.00%51.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.781.891.881.9856.18%52.95%53.19%50.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local) : 50.16% ; Frances Tiafoe (Visiteur) : 49.84%. Pour Frances Tiafoe (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.01. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 1.98, pour une espérance de -1.31% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.19%E -1.12%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.79%E -3.63%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -2.69%E -1.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -4.30%E -2.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-10 16:30
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -2.69%E -1.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -7.29%E -3.92%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -2.69%E -1.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -7.29%E -3.92%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -2.69%E -1.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -7.29%E -3.92%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 18:40
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.20%E -1.66%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.31%E -0.663%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-10 15:25
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.20%E -1.66%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.30%E -3.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.20%E -1.66%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.79%E -4.21%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.20%E -1.66%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.79%E -4.21%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:40
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.20%E -1.66%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.79%E -4.21%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.20%E -1.66%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.79%E -4.21%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:40
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.20%E -1.66%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.79%E -4.21%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:40
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.20%E -1.66%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.79%E -4.21%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.20%E -1.66%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.79%E -4.21%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:40
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.20%E -1.66%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.79%E -4.21%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.20%E -1.66%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.79%E -4.21%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.20%E -1.66%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.79%E -4.21%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:40
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.20%E -1.66%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.79%E -4.21%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:40
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.70%E -1.93%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 20:55
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.20%E -2.20%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.51%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 13:59
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.20%E -2.20%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.51%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.20%E -2.20%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.51%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 13:59
NordicBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.20%E -2.20%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.30%E -2.79%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Betsson🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.20%E -2.20%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.30%E -2.79%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:00
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.70%E -2.47%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.31%E -1.70%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 20:20
FanDuel🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -4.70%E -2.47%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -3.80%E -1.97%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 20:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -4.70%E -2.47%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -6.30%E -3.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.70%E -2.47%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.28%E -5.71%K -12.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 13:53
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.20%E -2.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.30%E -2.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.20%E -2.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.30%E -2.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.20%E -2.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.30%E -3.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 17:10
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.70%E -3.03%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.30%E -2.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 20:20
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.21%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.80%E -2.51%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 14:01
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.21%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.30%E -2.79%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.21%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.30%E -2.79%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.21%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.30%E -2.79%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 14:01
Betr (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.21%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.30%E -2.79%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 14:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.21%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.79%E -3.63%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.21%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.79%E -3.63%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.21%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.79%E -3.63%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 13:59
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.21%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.79%E -3.63%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.21%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.79%E -3.63%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 20:20
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.21%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.79%E -3.63%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 20:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -6.21%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -7.29%E -3.92%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 15:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -6.71%E -3.61%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -2.31%E -1.18%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 20:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -6.71%E -3.61%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -2.31%E -1.18%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 20:45
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.21%E -3.90%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.81%E -1.44%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 15:35
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.21%E -3.90%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.81%E -1.44%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 15:35
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.21%E -3.90%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.81%E -1.44%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 15:25
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.21%E -3.90%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.81%E -1.44%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 21:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.21%E -3.90%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.81%E -1.44%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 15:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.21%E -3.90%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.81%E -1.44%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 15:35
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.21%E -3.90%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.21%K -9.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.21%E -3.90%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.21%K -9.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.21%E -3.90%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.21%K -9.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 14:00
ReBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.21%E -3.90%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.21%K -9.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 14:01
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.04%EV -7.21%E -3.90%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%EV -11.28%E -6.34%K -14.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.21%E -4.49%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.80%E -2.51%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 20:20
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.21%E -4.49%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.80%E -2.51%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 20:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.50%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.50%0.0%2026-10-10 20:55
ProphetX◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-10-10 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-10-10 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-10-10 20:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-10-10 20:01
Novig◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.5%2026-10-10 15:30
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-10-10 20:15