Language:English
Tommy Paul v Zachary Svajda
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tommy Paul (Local)
Prediction 68.11%1.47fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -2.31%
Kelly -7.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.27%68.25%68.16%70.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.381.381.4275.76%72.55%72.46%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Zachary Svajda (Visit)
Prediction 31.89%3.14fair odd
EV -0.514%
Edge -0.165%
Kelly -0.243%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.86%31.75%31.84%33.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.962.953.1236.36%33.75%33.90%32.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tommy Paul (Local): 68.11%; Zachary Svajda (Visit): 31.89%. For Zachary Svajda (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.14. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.12, with an expected value of -0.514%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.51%EV -3.28%E -2.31%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.49%EV -1.47%E -0.476%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-15 13:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.28%E -2.31%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.75%E -0.900%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-15 13:17 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.96%E -2.81%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -3.38%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-15 13:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.96%E -2.81%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -3.38%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-15 13:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.64%E -3.32%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.34%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 13:21 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.64%E -3.32%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.34%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 12:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.64%E -3.32%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.34%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 12:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.64%E -3.32%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.93%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 12:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.64%E -3.32%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.93%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 13:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.64%E -3.32%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.93%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 13:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.64%E -3.32%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.93%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 13:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.64%E -3.32%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.64%E -3.32%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.64%E -3.32%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.64%E -3.32%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.64%E -3.32%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-15 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.64%E -3.32%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.49%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-15 12:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.64%E -3.32%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-15 13:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.64%E -3.32%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-15 13:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.64%E -3.32%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-15 13:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.32%E -3.83%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.75%E -0.900%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-15 12:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.32%E -3.83%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.93%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 13:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.15%E -0.372%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-15 12:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.75%E -0.900%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 12:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.75%E -0.900%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 12:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.75%E -0.900%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.75%E -0.900%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 12:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.75%E -0.900%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 12:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.75%E -0.900%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 12:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.75%E -0.900%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 12:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.75%E -0.900%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 12:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.75%E -0.900%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 12:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.93%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 13:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -6.25%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-15 13:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-15 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.12%E -3.20%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-15 12:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.12%E -3.20%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-15 12:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.68%E -4.88%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -2.75%E -0.900%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 13:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.68%E -4.88%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 13:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.68%E -4.88%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 13:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.68%E -4.88%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 13:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -7.37%E -5.42%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -0.514%E -0.165%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.37%E -5.42%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.15%E -0.372%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 12:51 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.37%E -5.42%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.34%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-15 13:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.37%E -5.42%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.34%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-15 13:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.37%E -5.42%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.34%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-15 12:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.37%E -5.42%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.93%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.37%E -5.42%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.93%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 13:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.37%E -5.42%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-15 13:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.37%E -5.42%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-15 13:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -7.37%E -5.42%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -8.49%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-15 12:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.05%E -5.96%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -5.93%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-15 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -8.73%E -6.51%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-15 13:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -8.73%E -6.51%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-15 13:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -9.41%E -7.07%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -1.15%E -0.372%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 12:37 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.18%EV -9.41%E -7.07%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -9.12%E -3.20%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-15 13:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -10.09%E -7.64%K -31.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -1.15%E -0.372%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-15 12:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -10.09%E -7.64%K -31.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -9.12%E -3.20%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-15 13:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-06-15 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-06-15 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-06-15 13:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-06-15 13:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59% | 2.2% | 2026-06-15 13:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56% | 2.9% | 2026-06-15 13:10 |