A Escola das Odds

Tommy Paul v Zachary Svajda

Início: 2026-06-15 13:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Tommy Paul (Local)

Previsão 68.11%1.47odd justa
EV -3.28%
Vantagem -2.31%
Kelly -7.81%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.27%68.25%68.16%70.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.321.381.381.4275.76%72.55%72.46%70.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Zachary Svajda (Visitante)

Previsão 31.89%3.14odd justa
EV -0.514%
Vantagem -0.165%
Kelly -0.243%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.86%31.75%31.84%33.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.752.962.953.1236.36%33.75%33.90%32.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 68.51%EV -3.28%E -2.31%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.49%EV -1.47%E -0.476%K -0.704%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-15 13:20
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.28%E -2.31%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.75%E -0.900%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-15 13:17
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.96%E -2.81%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -3.38%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-15 13:20
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.96%E -2.81%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -3.38%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-15 13:20
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.64%E -3.32%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.34%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 13:21
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.64%E -3.32%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.34%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 12:40
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.64%E -3.32%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.34%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 12:50
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.64%E -3.32%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.93%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:40
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.64%E -3.32%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.93%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 13:19
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.64%E -3.32%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.93%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 13:20
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.64%E -3.32%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.93%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 13:00
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.64%E -3.32%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:20
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.64%E -3.32%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:14
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.64%E -3.32%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:20
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.64%E -3.32%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:14
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.64%E -3.32%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.64%E -3.32%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.49%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-15 12:40
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.64%E -3.32%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-15 13:20
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.64%E -3.32%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-15 13:10
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.64%E -3.32%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.31%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-15 13:10
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.32%E -3.83%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.75%E -0.900%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-15 12:50
Betr (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.32%E -3.83%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.93%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 13:00
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.15%E -0.372%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-15 12:40
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.75%E -0.900%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:40
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.75%E -0.900%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:40
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.75%E -0.900%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:40
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.75%E -0.900%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:40
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.75%E -0.900%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:40
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.75%E -0.900%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:40
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.75%E -0.900%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:39
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.75%E -0.900%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:40
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.75%E -0.900%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:40
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.93%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 13:19
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.80%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -6.25%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-15 13:20
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-15 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.12%E -3.20%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 12:40
Neds1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.12%E -3.20%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 12:40
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.68%E -4.88%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -2.75%E -0.900%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 13:20
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.68%E -4.88%K -18.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 13:19
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.68%E -4.88%K -18.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 13:20
NetBet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.68%E -4.88%K -18.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 13:00
GTbets1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -7.37%E -5.42%K -20.46%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -0.514%E -0.165%K -0.243%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 13:00
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.37%E -5.42%K -20.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.15%E -0.372%K -0.549%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 12:51
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.37%E -5.42%K -20.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.34%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-15 13:20
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.37%E -5.42%K -20.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.34%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-15 13:20
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.37%E -5.42%K -20.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.34%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-15 12:50
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.37%E -5.42%K -20.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.93%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 13:20
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.37%E -5.42%K -20.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.93%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 13:20
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.37%E -5.42%K -20.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-15 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.37%E -5.42%K -20.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-15 13:20
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -7.37%E -5.42%K -20.46%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -8.49%E -2.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-15 12:40
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.05%E -5.96%K -22.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -5.93%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-15 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -8.73%E -6.51%K -25.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-15 13:20
Fliff1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -8.73%E -6.51%K -25.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-15 13:20
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -9.41%E -7.07%K -28.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -1.15%E -0.372%K -0.549%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 12:37
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.18%EV -9.41%E -7.07%K -28.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -9.12%E -3.20%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-15 13:19
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -10.09%E -7.64%K -31.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -1.15%E -0.372%K -0.549%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-15 12:40
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -10.09%E -7.64%K -31.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -9.12%E -3.20%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-15 13:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-06-15 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-06-15 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-06-15 13:20
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-06-15 13:20
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.2%2026-06-15 13:20
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%2.9%2026-06-15 13:10