A Escola das Odds

Arthur Fery v Francisco Cerundolo

Início: 2026-06-19 13:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Arthur Fery (Local)

Previsão 41.53%2.41odd justa
EV +0.909%
Vantagem +0.374%
Kelly +0.636%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.93%41.41%41.56%43.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.272.252.4347.62%44.02%44.44%41.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Francisco Cerundolo (Visitante)

Previsão 58.47%1.71odd justa
EV -1.18%
Vantagem -0.698%
Kelly -1.71%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.85%58.59%58.44%61.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.531.611.621.6965.36%61.97%61.92%59.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
ReBet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.909%E +0.374%K +0.636%G +0.006%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 13:31
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.909%E +0.374%K +0.636%G +0.006%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.78%E -5.63%K -15.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 13:40
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.909%E +0.374%K +0.636%G +0.006%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.78%E -5.63%K -15.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 13:40
Bally Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.909%E +0.374%K +0.636%G +0.006%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.78%E -5.63%K -15.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 13:40
Dabble (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.337%E -0.140%K -0.240%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 13:40
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -0.337%E -0.140%K -0.240%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -10.54%E -6.89%K -19.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-19 13:40
Betclic (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.17%E -0.490%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.44%E -4.03%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-19 13:38
Marathon Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.41%E -1.03%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -7.03%E -4.42%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 13:39
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -2.41%E -1.03%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.61%E -4.82%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 13:40
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -2.41%E -1.03%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -9.37%E -6.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-19 13:39
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -4.07%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.18%E -0.698%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-19 13:40
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.07%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.27%E -3.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 13:40
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.52%E -2.13%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-19 13:40
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.10%E -2.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-19 13:40
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.27%E -3.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 13:40
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.27%E -3.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 13:40
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.27%E -3.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 13:40
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 13:40
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.44%E -4.03%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 13:40
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.44%E -4.03%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 13:40
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 13:40
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.37%E -6.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 13:40
Unibet (UK)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.90%E -2.14%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.69%E -2.88%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 13:40
BetAnything2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -5.74%E -2.53%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-19 13:40
LowVig.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -5.74%E -2.53%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-19 13:40
BetOnline.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -5.74%E -2.53%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-19 13:40
DraftKings2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -5.74%E -2.53%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -5.27%E -3.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 13:40
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 13:40
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 13:40
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.69%E -2.88%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 13:37
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.27%E -3.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 13:40
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.27%E -3.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 13:34
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.44%E -4.03%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 13:40
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.44%E -4.03%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 13:40
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.44%E -4.03%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.61%E -4.82%K -13.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-19 13:40
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.61%E -4.82%K -13.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-19 13:40
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-19 13:40
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-19 13:38
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-19 13:40
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-19 13:40
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-19 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-19 13:40
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.40%E -3.32%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.93%E -1.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 13:40
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.40%E -3.32%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.93%E -1.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 13:40
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.40%E -3.32%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.93%E -1.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 13:40
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.40%E -3.32%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.93%E -1.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 13:40
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.40%E -3.32%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.93%E -1.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 13:40
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.40%E -3.32%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.93%E -1.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 13:40
NetBet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -7.81%E -3.52%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -6.44%E -4.03%K -10.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 13:40
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 13:40
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 13:40
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.52%E -2.13%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-19 13:40
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.52%E -2.13%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-19 13:40
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.44%E -4.03%K -10.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 13:38
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -9.47%E -4.35%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -4.10%E -2.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 13:40
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -9.47%E -4.35%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -4.10%E -2.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 13:40
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -10.72%E -4.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.27%E -3.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-19 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -11.13%E -5.20%K -9.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-19 13:40
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78%EV -12.79%E -6.09%K -11.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-19 13:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-06-19 13:40
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-06-19 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-06-19 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-06-19 13:40
Novig2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%4.1%2026-06-19 13:40
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%5.4%2026-06-19 13:40