La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Arthur Fery v Francisco Cerundolo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Arthur Fery (Local)
Predicción 41.53%2.41momio equitativo
EV +0.909%
Ventaja +0.374%
Kelly +0.636%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.93%41.41%41.56%43.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.272.252.4347.62%44.02%44.44%41.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Francisco Cerundolo (Visitante)
Predicción 58.47%1.71momio equitativo
EV -1.18%
Ventaja -0.698%
Kelly -1.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%58.59%58.44%61.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.611.621.6965.36%61.97%61.92%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.909%E +0.374%K +0.636%G +0.006% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-19 13:31 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.909%E +0.374%K +0.636%G +0.006% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.78%E -5.63%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.909%E +0.374%K +0.636%G +0.006% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.78%E -5.63%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Bally Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.909%E +0.374%K +0.636%G +0.006% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.78%E -5.63%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.337%E -0.140%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Caesars | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -0.337%E -0.140%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -10.54%E -6.89%K -19.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.17%E -0.490%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.44%E -4.03%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-19 13:38 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.41%E -1.03%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -7.03%E -4.42%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-19 13:39 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -2.41%E -1.03%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.61%E -4.82%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| TAB | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -2.41%E -1.03%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -9.37%E -6.04%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 13:39 |
| Pinnacle | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -4.07%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.18%E -0.698%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.07%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.27%E -3.25%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.52%E -2.13%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.10%E -2.50%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.27%E -3.25%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Bet Right | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.27%E -3.25%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.27%E -3.25%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.44%E -4.03%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.44%E -4.03%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Fliff | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.37%E -6.04%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.90%E -2.14%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.69%E -2.88%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| BetAnything | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -5.74%E -2.53%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -5.74%E -2.53%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -5.74%E -2.53%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -5.74%E -2.53%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -5.27%E -3.25%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.69%E -2.88%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 13:37 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.27%E -3.25%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.27%E -3.25%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-19 13:34 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.44%E -4.03%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.44%E -4.03%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.44%E -4.03%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.61%E -4.82%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.61%E -4.82%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-19 13:38 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Sky Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.40%E -3.32%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.93%E -1.77%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Casumo | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.40%E -3.32%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.93%E -1.77%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.40%E -3.32%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.93%E -1.77%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| betPARX | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.40%E -3.32%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.93%E -1.77%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.40%E -3.32%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.93%E -1.77%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.40%E -3.32%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.93%E -1.77%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -7.81%E -3.52%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -6.44%E -4.03%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.52%E -2.13%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.52%E -2.13%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.44%E -4.03%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-19 13:38 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -9.47%E -4.35%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -4.10%E -2.50%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -9.47%E -4.35%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -4.10%E -2.50%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -10.72%E -4.99%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.27%E -3.25%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -11.13%E -5.20%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78%EV -12.79%E -6.09%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 0.2% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 0.2% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Novig | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23% | 4.1% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45% | 5.4% | 2026-06-19 13:40 |