مدرسة الاحتمالات

Arthur Fery v Francisco Cerundolo

البداية: 2026-06-19 13:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Arthur Fery (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.53%2.41السعر العادل
EV +0.909%
الأفضلية +0.374%
Kelly +0.636%
النمو +0.006%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.43

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.93%41.41%41.56%43.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.272.252.4347.62%44.02%44.44%41.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Francisco Cerundolo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 58.47%1.71السعر العادل
EV -1.18%
الأفضلية -0.698%
Kelly -1.71%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.69

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.85%58.59%58.44%61.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.531.611.621.6965.36%61.97%61.92%59.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
ReBet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.909%E +0.374%K +0.636%G +0.006%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 13:31
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.909%E +0.374%K +0.636%G +0.006%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.78%E -5.63%K -15.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 13:40
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.909%E +0.374%K +0.636%G +0.006%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.78%E -5.63%K -15.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 13:40
Bally Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.909%E +0.374%K +0.636%G +0.006%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.78%E -5.63%K -15.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 13:40
Dabble (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.337%E -0.140%K -0.240%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 13:40
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -0.337%E -0.140%K -0.240%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -10.54%E -6.89%K -19.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-19 13:40
Betclic (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.17%E -0.490%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.44%E -4.03%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-19 13:38
Marathon Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.41%E -1.03%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -7.03%E -4.42%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 13:39
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -2.41%E -1.03%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.61%E -4.82%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 13:40
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -2.41%E -1.03%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -9.37%E -6.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-19 13:39
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -4.07%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.18%E -0.698%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-19 13:40
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.07%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.27%E -3.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 13:40
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.52%E -2.13%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-19 13:40
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.10%E -2.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-19 13:40
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.27%E -3.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 13:40
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.27%E -3.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 13:40
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.27%E -3.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 13:40
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 13:40
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.44%E -4.03%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 13:40
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.44%E -4.03%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 13:40
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 13:40
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.37%E -6.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 13:40
Unibet (UK)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.90%E -2.14%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.69%E -2.88%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 13:40
BetAnything2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -5.74%E -2.53%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-19 13:40
LowVig.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -5.74%E -2.53%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-19 13:40
BetOnline.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -5.74%E -2.53%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-19 13:40
DraftKings2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -5.74%E -2.53%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -5.27%E -3.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 13:40
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 13:40
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 13:40
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.69%E -2.88%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 13:37
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.27%E -3.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 13:40
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.27%E -3.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 13:34
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.44%E -4.03%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 13:40
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.44%E -4.03%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 13:40
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.44%E -4.03%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.61%E -4.82%K -13.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-19 13:40
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.61%E -4.82%K -13.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-19 13:40
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-19 13:40
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-19 13:38
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-19 13:40
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-19 13:40
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-19 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.57%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-19 13:40
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.40%E -3.32%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.93%E -1.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 13:40
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.40%E -3.32%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.93%E -1.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 13:40
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.40%E -3.32%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.93%E -1.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 13:40
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.40%E -3.32%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.93%E -1.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 13:40
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.40%E -3.32%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.93%E -1.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 13:40
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.40%E -3.32%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.93%E -1.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 13:40
NetBet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -7.81%E -3.52%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -6.44%E -4.03%K -10.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 13:40
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 13:40
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 13:40
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.52%E -2.13%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-19 13:40
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.52%E -2.13%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-19 13:40
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.44%E -4.03%K -10.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 13:38
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -9.47%E -4.35%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -4.10%E -2.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 13:40
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -9.47%E -4.35%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -4.10%E -2.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 13:40
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -10.72%E -4.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.27%E -3.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-19 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -11.13%E -5.20%K -9.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-19 13:40
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78%EV -12.79%E -6.09%K -11.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -8.20%E -5.22%K -14.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-19 13:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-06-19 13:40
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-06-19 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-06-19 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-06-19 13:40
Novig2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%4.1%2026-06-19 13:40
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%5.4%2026-06-19 13:40