La scuola delle quote

Alex de Minaur v Gabriel Diallo

Inizio: 2026-06-16 14:53 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

60 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Alex de Minaur (Casa)

Previsione 79.96%1.25quota equa
EV -0.855%
Vantaggio -0.689%
Kelly -3.56%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.24

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
76.34%79.95%79.75%82.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.111.181.181.2490.09%85.06%84.75%80.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Gabriel Diallo (Trasferta)

Previsione 20.04%4.99quota equa
EV +10.24%
Vantaggio +1.86%
Kelly +2.28%
Crescita +0.233%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.04%20.05%20.25%23.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.694.705.5025.00%21.31%21.28%18.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Coral1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -9.65%E -8.54%K -74.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +10.24%E +1.86%K +2.28%G +0.233%6.7%2026-06-16 14:50
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -8.05%E -7.00%K -53.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +5.23%E +0.997%K +1.23%G +0.064%6.0%2026-06-16 14:50
Betclic (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -11.25%E -10.13%K -102.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV +5.23%E +0.997%K +1.23%G +0.064%9.1%2026-06-16 14:48
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 81.75%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.95%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.25%EV +5.03%E +0.960%K +1.19%G +0.060%4.6%2026-06-16 14:50
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.27%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%EV +4.23%E +0.813%K +1.01%G +0.043%2.6%2026-06-16 14:30
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -10.45%E -9.33%K -87.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +4.23%E +0.813%K +1.01%G +0.043%8.5%2026-06-16 14:50
BetOnline.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +3.23%E +0.627%K +0.778%G +0.025%4.2%2026-06-16 14:30
LowVig.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +3.23%E +0.627%K +0.778%G +0.025%4.2%2026-06-16 14:30
Marathon Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.221%E +0.044%K +0.055%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 14:30
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.85%E -7.76%K -63.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +0.221%E +0.044%K +0.055%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 14:30
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.85%E -7.76%K -63.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +0.221%E +0.044%K +0.055%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 14:30
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.85%E -7.76%K -63.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +0.221%E +0.044%K +0.055%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.85%E -7.76%K -63.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +0.221%E +0.044%K +0.055%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 14:30
GTbets1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -1.78%E -0.364%K -0.457%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 14:30
Bally Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.78%E -0.364%K -0.457%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 14:30
NetBet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -8.05%E -7.00%K -53.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -1.78%E -0.364%K -0.457%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 14:40
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.79%E -0.789%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 14:50
betPARX1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.79%E -0.789%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 14:50
Fliff1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.85%E -7.76%K -63.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -3.79%E -0.789%K -0.997%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-16 14:50
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.79%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 14:39
Bet Right1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.79%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 14:43
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.79%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 14:50
Casumo1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.79%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 14:50
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.79%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 14:50
BetRivers1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.79%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 14:50
BetUS1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.79%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 14:30
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.79%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 14:50
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.79%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 14:50
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -5.79%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 14:50
ReBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -5.79%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 14:27
TABtouch1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -5.79%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 14:50
Grosvenor1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -5.79%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 14:50
Fanatics1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -6.79%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.80%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 14:30
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -7.80%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 14:50
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -7.80%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 14:50
Unibet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -7.80%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 14:28
TAB1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -7.80%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-16 14:50
Betr (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -8.80%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 14:43
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -3.25%E -2.69%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -9.00%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 14:39
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.45%E -2.01%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -9.80%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-16 14:36
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.80%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 14:47
BetMGM1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.80%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 14:50
Winamax (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.80%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 14:50
betfred_uk1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.80%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 14:42
theScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.80%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.80%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 14:30
Neds1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.80%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 14:30
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.80%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-16 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -8.05%E -7.00%K -53.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -9.80%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-16 14:50
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.04%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -10.80%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 14:50
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -12.81%E -2.94%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 14:50
PMU (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 79.38%EV -9.65%E -8.54%K -74.23%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.62%EV -12.81%E -2.94%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-16 14:50
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -13.21%E -3.05%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 14:50
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -13.81%E -3.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-16 14:50
Tipico (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -13.81%E -3.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-16 14:50
Caesars1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -15.81%E -3.77%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 14:45
PlayUp1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -0.855%E -0.689%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -19.82%E -4.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 14:46
Dabble (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -0.855%E -0.689%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -19.82%E -4.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 14:46
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -19.82%E -4.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-16 14:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-06-16 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-06-16 14:50
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.5%2026-06-16 14:50
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 81.68%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.32%3.8%2026-06-16 14:50