L’École des cotes

Alex de Minaur v Gabriel Diallo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-16 14:53 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alex de Minaur (Local)

Prévision 79.96%1.25cote équitable
EV -0.855%
Avantage -0.689%
Kelly -3.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.34%79.95%79.75%82.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.111.181.181.2490.09%85.06%84.75%80.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Gabriel Diallo (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.04%4.99cote équitable
EV +10.24%
Avantage +1.86%
Kelly +2.28%
Croissance +0.233%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.04%20.05%20.25%23.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.694.705.5025.00%21.31%21.28%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Coral1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -9.65%E -8.54%K -74.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +10.24%E +1.86%K +2.28%G +0.233%6.7%2026-06-16 14:50
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -8.05%E -7.00%K -53.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +5.23%E +0.997%K +1.23%G +0.064%6.0%2026-06-16 14:50
Betclic (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -11.25%E -10.13%K -102.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV +5.23%E +0.997%K +1.23%G +0.064%9.1%2026-06-16 14:48
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 81.75%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.95%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.25%EV +5.03%E +0.960%K +1.19%G +0.060%4.6%2026-06-16 14:50
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.27%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%EV +4.23%E +0.813%K +1.01%G +0.043%2.6%2026-06-16 14:30
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -10.45%E -9.33%K -87.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +4.23%E +0.813%K +1.01%G +0.043%8.5%2026-06-16 14:50
BetOnline.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +3.23%E +0.627%K +0.778%G +0.025%4.2%2026-06-16 14:30
LowVig.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +3.23%E +0.627%K +0.778%G +0.025%4.2%2026-06-16 14:30
Marathon Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.221%E +0.044%K +0.055%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 14:30
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.85%E -7.76%K -63.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +0.221%E +0.044%K +0.055%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 14:30
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.85%E -7.76%K -63.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +0.221%E +0.044%K +0.055%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 14:30
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.85%E -7.76%K -63.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +0.221%E +0.044%K +0.055%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.85%E -7.76%K -63.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +0.221%E +0.044%K +0.055%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 14:30
GTbets1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -1.78%E -0.364%K -0.457%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 14:30
Bally Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.78%E -0.364%K -0.457%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 14:30
NetBet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -8.05%E -7.00%K -53.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -1.78%E -0.364%K -0.457%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 14:40
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.79%E -0.789%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 14:50
betPARX1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.79%E -0.789%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 14:50
Fliff1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.85%E -7.76%K -63.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -3.79%E -0.789%K -0.997%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-16 14:50
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.79%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 14:39
Bet Right1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.79%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 14:43
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.79%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 14:50
Casumo1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.79%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 14:50
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.79%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 14:50
BetRivers1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.79%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 14:50
BetUS1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.79%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 14:30
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.79%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 14:50
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.79%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 14:50
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -5.79%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 14:50
ReBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -5.79%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 14:27
TABtouch1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -5.79%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 14:50
Grosvenor1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -5.79%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 14:50
Fanatics1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -6.79%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.80%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 14:30
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -7.80%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 14:50
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -7.80%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 14:50
Unibet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -7.80%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 14:28
TAB1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -7.80%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-16 14:50
Betr (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -8.80%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 14:43
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -3.25%E -2.69%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -9.00%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 14:39
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.45%E -2.01%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -9.80%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-16 14:36
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.80%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 14:47
BetMGM1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.80%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 14:50
Winamax (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.80%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 14:50
betfred_uk1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.80%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 14:42
theScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.80%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.80%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 14:30
Neds1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.80%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 14:30
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.80%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-16 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -8.05%E -7.00%K -53.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -9.80%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-16 14:50
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.04%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -10.80%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 14:50
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -12.81%E -2.94%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 14:50
PMU (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 79.38%EV -9.65%E -8.54%K -74.23%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.62%EV -12.81%E -2.94%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-16 14:50
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -13.21%E -3.05%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 14:50
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -13.81%E -3.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-16 14:50
Tipico (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -13.81%E -3.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-16 14:50
Caesars1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -15.81%E -3.77%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 14:45
PlayUp1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -0.855%E -0.689%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -19.82%E -4.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 14:46
Dabble (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -0.855%E -0.689%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -19.82%E -4.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 14:46
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -19.82%E -4.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-16 14:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-06-16 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-06-16 14:50
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.5%2026-06-16 14:50
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 81.68%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.32%3.8%2026-06-16 14:50