Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stefanos Tsitsipas v Learner Tien

2026-11-01 10:00 UTC — ATP Paris Masters

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

44%

56%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Local)

Prediction 44.42%2.25fair odd

EV -0.046%

Edge -0.020%

Kelly -0.037%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

42.31%44.61%44.30%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.002.162.162.2550.00%46.33%46.30%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Learner Tien (Visit)

Prediction 55.58%1.80fair odd

EV +0.037%

Edge +0.020%

Kelly +0.046%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

52.63%55.39%55.70%57.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.571.681.661.8063.69%59.60%60.24%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Stefanos Tsitsipas (Local): 44.42%; Learner Tien (Visit): 55.58%. For Learner Tien (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.799. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.800, producing a positive expected value of +0.037%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Betway🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.15%E -5.58%K -11.15%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.037%E +0.020%K +0.046%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-10-31 12:29
DraftKings🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.74%E -1.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-31 09:40
PlayUp🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.74%E -1.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-31 09:40
Coolbet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.30%E -1.90%K -4.46%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-10-31 12:15
GTbets🎯	2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -6.27%E -2.97%K -5.64%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -3.30%E -1.90%K -4.46%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-10-31 09:40
888sport🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 09:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 09:40
888sport (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 09:39
Fanatics🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.97%E -2.90%K -6.99%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-31 10:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.97%E -2.90%K -6.99%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-10-31 09:40
Betsson🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.04%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.89%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-31 12:15
NordicBet🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.04%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.89%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-31 12:15
Betr (AU)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.08%E -3.60%K -8.81%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-10-31 12:15
theScore Bet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.08%E -3.60%K -8.81%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-10-31 09:40
1xBet🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.935%E -0.419%K -0.760%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-10-31 12:15
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -6.27%E -2.97%K -5.64%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -7.19%E -4.30%K -10.73%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-10-31 12:15
Bet Victor🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.19%E -4.30%K -10.73%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-10-31 12:13
betano_uk🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.19%E -4.30%K -10.73%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-10-31 12:14
ReBet🎯	2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -7.15%E -3.42%K -6.56%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -7.74%E -4.66%K -11.73%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-10-31 12:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.046%E -0.020%K -0.037%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-31 12:10
Unibet🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.935%E -0.419%K -0.760%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 12:10
BetRivers🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.935%E -0.419%K -0.760%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 12:10
Casumo🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.935%E -0.419%K -0.760%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 12:10
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.935%E -0.419%K -0.760%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 12:10
Virgin Bet🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.935%E -0.419%K -0.760%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 12:10
TABtouch🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.935%E -0.419%K -0.760%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.935%E -0.419%K -0.760%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 12:10
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.935%E -0.419%K -0.760%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 12:10
Grosvenor🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.935%E -0.419%K -0.760%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 12:10
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.935%E -0.419%K -0.760%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 12:10
Bally Bet🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.935%E -0.419%K -0.760%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 12:10
ATG (SE)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.935%E -0.419%K -0.760%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 12:10
Svenska Spel🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.935%E -0.419%K -0.760%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 12:10
betPARX🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.935%E -0.419%K -0.760%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 12:15
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -9.41%E -5.77%K -14.94%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-10-31 12:19
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -11.15%E -5.58%K -11.15%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -10.52%E -6.54%K -17.25%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-10-31 12:15
PMU (FR)🎯	2.14I 46.73%NM 42.32%EV -4.93%E -2.30%K -4.33%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -12.75%E -8.12%K -22.36%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-10-31 12:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets◎	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%	1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%	7.6%	2026-10-31 12:15
ProphetX◎	2.09I 47.85%NM 41.62%	1.49I 67.11%NM 58.38%	15.0%	2026-10-31 13:10