Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Stefanos Tsitsipas v Learner Tien

2026-11-01 10:00 UTC — ATP Paris Masters

Testa a testa

37 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

44%

56%

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Casa)

Previsione 44.42%2.25quota equa

EV -0.046%

Vantaggio -0.020%

Kelly -0.037%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

42.31%44.61%44.30%47.37%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Distribuzione delle quote

2.002.162.162.2550.00%46.33%46.30%44.44%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Learner Tien (Trasferta)

Previsione 55.58%1.80quota equa

EV +0.037%

Vantaggio +0.020%

Kelly +0.046%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

52.63%55.39%55.70%57.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Distribuzione delle quote

1.571.681.661.8063.69%59.60%60.24%55.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Stefanos Tsitsipas (Casa): 44.42%; Learner Tien (Trasferta): 55.58%. Per Learner Tien (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 1.799. 1 bookmaker offre una quota superiore a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 1.800, con un valore atteso positivo del +0.037%.

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta ▼	Margine	Aggiornamento
Betway🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.15%E -5.58%K -11.15%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.037%E +0.020%K +0.046%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-10-31 12:29
DraftKings🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.74%E -1.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-31 09:40
PlayUp🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.74%E -1.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-31 09:40
Coolbet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.30%E -1.90%K -4.46%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-10-31 12:15
GTbets🎯	2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -6.27%E -2.97%K -5.64%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -3.30%E -1.90%K -4.46%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-10-31 09:40
888sport🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 09:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 09:40
888sport (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 09:39
Fanatics🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.97%E -2.90%K -6.99%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-31 10:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.97%E -2.90%K -6.99%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-10-31 09:40
Betsson🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.04%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.89%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-31 12:15
NordicBet🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.04%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.89%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-31 12:15
Betr (AU)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.08%E -3.60%K -8.81%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-10-31 12:15
theScore Bet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.08%E -3.60%K -8.81%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-10-31 09:40
1xBet🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.935%E -0.419%K -0.760%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-10-31 12:15
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -6.27%E -2.97%K -5.64%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -7.19%E -4.30%K -10.73%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-10-31 12:15
Bet Victor🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.19%E -4.30%K -10.73%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-10-31 12:13
betano_uk🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.19%E -4.30%K -10.73%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-10-31 12:14
ReBet🎯	2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -7.15%E -3.42%K -6.56%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -7.74%E -4.66%K -11.73%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-10-31 12:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.046%E -0.020%K -0.037%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-31 12:10
Unibet🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.935%E -0.419%K -0.760%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 12:10
BetRivers🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.935%E -0.419%K -0.760%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 12:10
Casumo🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.935%E -0.419%K -0.760%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 12:10
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.935%E -0.419%K -0.760%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 12:10
Virgin Bet🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.935%E -0.419%K -0.760%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 12:10
TABtouch🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.935%E -0.419%K -0.760%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.935%E -0.419%K -0.760%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 12:10
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.935%E -0.419%K -0.760%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 12:10
Grosvenor🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.935%E -0.419%K -0.760%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 12:10
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.935%E -0.419%K -0.760%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 12:10
Bally Bet🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.935%E -0.419%K -0.760%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 12:10
ATG (SE)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.935%E -0.419%K -0.760%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 12:10
Svenska Spel🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.935%E -0.419%K -0.760%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 12:10
betPARX🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.935%E -0.419%K -0.760%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-31 12:15
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -9.41%E -5.77%K -14.94%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-10-31 12:19
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -11.15%E -5.58%K -11.15%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -10.52%E -6.54%K -17.25%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-10-31 12:15
PMU (FR)🎯	2.14I 46.73%NM 42.32%EV -4.93%E -2.30%K -4.33%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -12.75%E -8.12%K -22.36%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-10-31 12:10

Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (2)

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta	Margine ▲	Aggiornamento
Smarkets◎	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%	1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%	7.6%	2026-10-31 12:15
ProphetX◎	2.08I 48.08%NM 43.78%	1.62I 61.73%NM 56.22%	9.8%	2026-10-31 14:10