A Escola das Oddsodds.tennis
Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Casper Ruud v Carlos Alcaraz

Início: 2026-11-07 16:23 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Casper Ruud (Local)

Previsão 19.79%5.05odd justa
EV +8.86%
Vantagem +1.61%
Kelly +1.97%
Crescimento +0.175%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.29%19.86%19.77%21.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.694.755.5023.81%21.30%21.05%18.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Carlos Alcaraz (Visitante)

Previsão 80.21%1.25odd justa
EV -2.95%
Vantagem -2.44%
Kelly -14.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
78.21%80.14%80.23%82.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.121.191.191.2189.29%84.38%84.03%82.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Casper Ruud (Local): 19.79%; Carlos Alcaraz (Visitante): 80.21%. Para Casper Ruud (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.05. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +8.86%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +8.86%E +1.61%K +1.97%G +0.175%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.76%E -6.75%K -51.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-07 15:50
FanDuel🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +6.89%E +1.28%K +1.56%G +0.108%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -6.96%E -6.00%K -43.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-07 15:49
Pinnacle🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%EV +2.93%E +0.563%K +0.697%G +0.020%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25%EV -3.75%E -3.13%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.6%2026-11-07 16:00
Winamax (DE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +0.947%E +0.186%K +0.231%G +0.002%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -4.55%E -3.83%K -23.97%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-07 16:00
Coolbet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -1.03%E -0.206%K -0.258%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.75%E -3.13%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-07 15:45
LowVig.ag🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -1.03%E -0.206%K -0.258%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.55%E -3.83%K -23.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-07 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -1.03%E -0.206%K -0.258%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.55%E -3.83%K -23.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-07 15:50
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.03%E -0.206%K -0.258%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.36%E -4.54%K -29.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-07 16:00
Bovada🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.03%E -0.206%K -0.258%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.36%E -4.54%K -29.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-07 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.03%E -0.206%K -0.258%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.16%E -5.26%K -36.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-07 15:55
theScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.03%E -0.206%K -0.258%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.16%E -5.26%K -36.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-07 15:50
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.03%E -0.206%K -0.258%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.16%E -5.26%K -36.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-07 16:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.03%E -0.206%K -0.258%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.16%E -5.26%K -36.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-07 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.03%E -0.206%K -0.258%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.96%E -6.00%K -43.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-07 01:25
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.03%E -0.206%K -0.258%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.56%E -7.51%K -61.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-07 15:50
Unibet (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -1.03%E -0.206%K -0.258%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -10.17%E -9.08%K -84.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-07 10:49
ReBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.01%E -0.615%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.36%E -4.54%K -29.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-07 15:50
NetBet (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -3.01%E -0.615%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -9.37%E -8.29%K -72.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-07 15:45
Fanatics🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -4.00%E -0.825%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -4.55%E -3.83%K -23.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-07 09:44
1xBet🎯4.82I 20.75%NM 19.93%EV -4.59%E -0.953%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.07%EV -3.75%E -3.13%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-07 15:55
DraftKings🎯4.81I 20.79%NM 19.83%EV -4.79%E -0.996%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.17%EV -4.55%E -3.83%K -23.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-07 10:25
Betsson🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.99%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.55%E -3.83%K -23.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-07 09:45
NordicBet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.99%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.55%E -3.83%K -23.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-07 09:45
picklebet_au🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.99%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.36%E -4.54%K -29.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-07 15:50
BetAnything🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.99%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.36%E -4.54%K -29.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-07 15:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -4.99%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.16%E -5.26%K -36.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-07 16:00
Coral🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -4.99%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.16%E -5.26%K -36.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-07 16:00
Fliff🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -4.99%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.16%E -5.26%K -36.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-07 16:00
Bet Right🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.98%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.55%E -3.83%K -23.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-07 15:45
LeoVegas🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.98%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.36%E -4.54%K -29.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-07 15:55
Neds🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.98%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.16%E -5.26%K -36.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-07 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.98%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.16%E -5.26%K -36.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-07 16:00
GTbets🎯4.74I 21.10%NM 19.80%EV -6.18%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.20%EV -6.16%E -5.26%K -36.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-07 09:45
Betr (AU)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -6.97%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.36%E -4.54%K -29.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-07 15:45
PlayUp🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.95%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.55%E -3.83%K -23.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-07 15:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -10.93%E -2.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -2.95%E -2.44%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-07 10:05
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.93%E -2.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.75%E -3.13%K -18.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-07 14:50
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.93%E -2.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.75%E -3.13%K -18.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-07 14:49
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.93%E -2.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.75%E -3.13%K -18.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-07 15:55
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.93%E -2.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.75%E -3.13%K -18.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-07 02:40
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.93%E -2.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.75%E -3.13%K -18.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-07 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.93%E -2.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.75%E -3.13%K -18.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-07 14:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.93%E -2.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.36%E -4.54%K -29.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-07 00:19
Betclic (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -10.93%E -2.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 79.93%EV -9.37%E -8.29%K -72.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-07 15:59
Unibet (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -12.91%E -2.93%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.95%E -2.44%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-07 10:05
Casumo🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -12.91%E -2.93%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.95%E -2.44%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-07 10:05
Unibet (NL)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -12.91%E -2.93%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.95%E -2.44%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-07 10:05
Virgin Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -12.91%E -2.93%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.95%E -2.44%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-07 10:05
LiveScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -12.91%E -2.93%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.95%E -2.44%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-07 10:05
Grosvenor🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -12.91%E -2.93%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.95%E -2.44%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-07 10:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -12.91%E -2.93%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.95%E -2.44%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-07 10:05
TABtouch🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -12.91%E -2.93%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.95%E -2.44%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-07 10:05
Unibet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -12.91%E -2.93%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.95%E -2.44%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-07 10:05
BetRivers🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -12.91%E -2.93%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.95%E -2.44%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-07 10:05
betPARX🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -12.91%E -2.93%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.95%E -2.44%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-07 10:05
Svenska Spel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -12.91%E -2.93%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.95%E -2.44%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-07 10:05
ATG (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -12.91%E -2.93%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.95%E -2.44%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-07 10:05
Bally Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -12.91%E -2.93%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.95%E -2.44%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-07 10:05
TAB🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.91%E -2.93%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.36%E -4.54%K -29.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-07 15:50
betano_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -14.29%E -3.30%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.36%E -4.54%K -29.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-07 15:49
Bet Victor🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -14.29%E -3.30%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.36%E -4.54%K -29.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-07 15:49
Winamax (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -14.89%E -3.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.75%EV -6.96%E -6.00%K -43.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-07 16:00
PMU (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -16.87%E -4.02%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21%EV -6.16%E -5.26%K -36.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-07 15:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.70I 17.54%NM 17.51%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.49%0.2%2026-11-07 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.70I 17.54%NM 17.51%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.49%0.2%2026-11-07 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.70I 17.54%NM 17.51%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.49%0.2%2026-11-07 16:00
Novig◎5.71I 17.51%NM 17.37%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.63%0.8%2026-11-07 16:01
ProphetX◎5.65I 17.70%NM 17.52%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.48%1.0%2026-11-07 16:00
Smarkets◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.53%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.47%1.9%2026-11-07 16:00
Matchbook◎5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%2.9%2026-11-07 15:55

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