La scuola delle quote

Flavio Cobolli v Zizou Bergs

Inizio: 2026-04-15 13:50 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Flavio Cobolli (Casa)

Previsione 56.85%1.76quota equa
EV +0.625%
Vantaggio +0.353%
Kelly +0.812%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.62%56.67%56.85%58.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.561.661.661.7764.10%60.30%60.24%56.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Zizou Bergs (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.15%2.32quota equa
EV +0.107%
Vantaggio +0.046%
Kelly +0.081%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.03%43.33%43.15%46.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.172.202.3250.00%46.09%45.45%43.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV +0.625%E +0.353%K +0.812%G +0.005%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -11.54%E -5.63%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 13:45
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.65%E -0.953%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.70%E -6.85%K -13.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-15 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.65%E -0.953%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.70%E -6.85%K -13.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-15 13:45
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.22%E -1.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.78%E -1.69%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-15 13:45
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.79%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 13:45
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.79%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.66%E -3.58%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 13:45
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.79%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.66%E -3.58%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 13:45
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.79%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.66%E -3.58%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 13:45
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.79%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-15 13:45
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -2.79%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -11.54%E -5.63%K -10.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 13:45
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 13:45
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.52%E -4.02%K -7.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 13:45
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.54%E -5.63%K -10.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 13:45
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.54%E -5.63%K -10.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 13:45
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.34%E -1.49%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 13:45
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.34%E -1.49%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 13:45
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 13:45
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 13:20
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.21%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 13:39
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 13:45
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 13:44
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 13:45
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 13:45
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 13:34
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 13:45
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 13:20
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 13:44
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -10.25%E -4.93%K -9.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 13:45
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.63%E -3.39%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.21%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 13:40
Betr (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.63%E -3.39%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -5.63%E -3.39%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%EV -11.11%E -5.39%K -10.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-15 13:45
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -5.63%E -3.39%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -11.54%E -5.63%K -10.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 13:43
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 13:45
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 13:45
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 13:44
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 13:45
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.93%E -2.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-15 13:44
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 13:45
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 13:45
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 13:39
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.33%E -4.50%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 13:44
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.33%E -4.50%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 13:45
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.33%E -4.50%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 13:45
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV +0.107%E +0.046%K +0.081%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 13:39
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 13:45
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 13:20
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 13:40
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -11.54%E -5.63%K -10.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-15 13:45
Codere (IT)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -1.62%E -0.710%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 13:40
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 13:38
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 13:45
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 13:45
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 13:45
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 13:45
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.04%E -5.65%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.756%E -0.329%K -0.581%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 13:45
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.04%E -5.65%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 13:39
NetBet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -9.04%E -5.65%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -4.21%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 13:41
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.04%E -5.65%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 13:45
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -9.61%E -6.04%K -16.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-15 13:45
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.61%EV -11.31%E -7.25%K -20.20%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -8.52%E -4.02%K -7.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-15 13:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-04-15 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-04-15 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-04-15 13:45
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-04-15 13:45
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-04-15 13:45
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%2.8%2026-04-15 13:45
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%4.9%2026-04-15 13:45