Idioma:Español
Flavio Cobolli v Zizou Bergs
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Flavio Cobolli (Local)
Predicción 56.85%1.76momio equitativo
EV +0.625%
Ventaja +0.353%
Kelly +0.812%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.62%56.67%56.85%58.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.561.661.661.7764.10%60.30%60.24%56.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Zizou Bergs (Visitante)
Predicción 43.15%2.32momio equitativo
EV +0.107%
Ventaja +0.046%
Kelly +0.081%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.03%43.33%43.15%46.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.172.202.3250.00%46.09%45.45%43.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Flavio Cobolli (Local): 56.85%; Zizou Bergs (Visitante): 43.15%. Para Flavio Cobolli (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.76. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.77, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.625%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV +0.625%E +0.353%K +0.812%G +0.005% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -11.54%E -5.63%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.65%E -0.953%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.70%E -6.85%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.65%E -0.953%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.70%E -6.85%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.22%E -1.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.78%E -1.69%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.79%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.79%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.66%E -3.58%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.79%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.66%E -3.58%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.79%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.66%E -3.58%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.79%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -2.79%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -11.54%E -5.63%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.52%E -4.02%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.54%E -5.63%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.54%E -5.63%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.34%E -1.49%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.34%E -1.49%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-15 13:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.21%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 13:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 13:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 13:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 13:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 13:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -10.25%E -4.93%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.63%E -3.39%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.21%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 13:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.63%E -3.39%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -5.63%E -3.39%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%EV -11.11%E -5.39%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -5.63%E -3.39%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -11.54%E -5.63%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-15 13:43 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 13:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.93%E -2.72%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-15 13:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 13:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.33%E -4.50%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 13:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.33%E -4.50%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.33%E -4.50%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV +0.107%E +0.046%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 13:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 13:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 13:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -11.54%E -5.63%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -1.62%E -0.710%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 13:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 13:38 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.04%E -5.65%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.756%E -0.329%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.04%E -5.65%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 13:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -9.04%E -5.65%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -4.21%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-15 13:41 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.04%E -5.65%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -9.61%E -6.04%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.61%EV -11.31%E -7.25%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -8.52%E -4.02%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.2% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47% | 1.3% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04% | 2.8% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 13:45 |