L’École des cotes

Flavio Cobolli v Zizou Bergs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-15 13:50 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Flavio Cobolli (Local)

Prévision 56.85%1.76cote équitable
EV +0.625%
Avantage +0.353%
Kelly +0.812%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.62%56.67%56.85%58.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.661.661.7764.10%60.30%60.24%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Zizou Bergs (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.15%2.32cote équitable
EV +0.107%
Avantage +0.046%
Kelly +0.081%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.03%43.33%43.15%46.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.172.202.3250.00%46.09%45.45%43.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV +0.625%E +0.353%K +0.812%G +0.005%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -11.54%E -5.63%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 13:45
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.65%E -0.953%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.70%E -6.85%K -13.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-15 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.65%E -0.953%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.70%E -6.85%K -13.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-15 13:45
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.22%E -1.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.78%E -1.69%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-15 13:45
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.79%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 13:45
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.79%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.66%E -3.58%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 13:45
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.79%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.66%E -3.58%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 13:45
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.79%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.66%E -3.58%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 13:45
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.79%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-15 13:45
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -2.79%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -11.54%E -5.63%K -10.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 13:45
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 13:45
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.52%E -4.02%K -7.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 13:45
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.54%E -5.63%K -10.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 13:45
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.54%E -5.63%K -10.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 13:45
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.34%E -1.49%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 13:45
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.34%E -1.49%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 13:45
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 13:45
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 13:20
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.21%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 13:39
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 13:45
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 13:44
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 13:45
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 13:45
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 13:34
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 13:45
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 13:20
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 13:44
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -10.25%E -4.93%K -9.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 13:45
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.63%E -3.39%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.21%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 13:40
Betr (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.63%E -3.39%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -5.63%E -3.39%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%EV -11.11%E -5.39%K -10.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-15 13:45
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -5.63%E -3.39%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -11.54%E -5.63%K -10.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 13:43
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 13:45
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 13:45
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 13:44
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 13:45
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.93%E -2.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-15 13:44
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 13:45
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 13:45
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 13:39
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.33%E -4.50%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 13:44
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.33%E -4.50%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 13:45
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.33%E -4.50%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 13:45
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV +0.107%E +0.046%K +0.081%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 13:39
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 13:45
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 13:20
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 13:40
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -11.54%E -5.63%K -10.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-15 13:45
Codere (IT)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -1.62%E -0.710%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 13:40
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 13:38
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 13:45
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 13:45
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 13:45
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 13:45
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.04%E -5.65%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.756%E -0.329%K -0.581%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 13:45
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.04%E -5.65%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 13:39
NetBet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -9.04%E -5.65%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -4.21%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 13:41
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.04%E -5.65%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 13:45
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -9.61%E -6.04%K -16.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-15 13:45
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.61%EV -11.31%E -7.25%K -20.20%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -8.52%E -4.02%K -7.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-15 13:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-04-15 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-04-15 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-04-15 13:45
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-04-15 13:45
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-04-15 13:45
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%2.8%2026-04-15 13:45
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%4.9%2026-04-15 13:45