Language:English
Alexander Blockx v Ben Shelton
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alexander Blockx (Local)
Prediction 43.02%2.32fair odd
EV +7.55%
Edge +3.02%
Kelly +5.03%
Growth +0.380%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.18%42.86%43.12%45.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.192.182.5048.78%45.70%45.87%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ben Shelton (Visit)
Prediction 56.98%1.76fair odd
EV +1.42%
Edge +0.800%
Kelly +1.83%
Growth +0.026%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.01%57.14%56.88%62.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.651.651.7868.97%60.68%60.61%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Blockx (Local): 43.02%; Ben Shelton (Visit): 56.98%. For Alexander Blockx (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.55%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +7.55%E +3.02%K +5.03%G +0.380% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -11.68%E -7.54%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-15 11:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +7.55%E +3.02%K +5.03%G +0.380% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -14.53%E -9.69%K -29.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV +5.40%E +2.20%K +3.72%G +0.201% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -11.11%E -7.12%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 11:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV +5.40%E +2.20%K +3.72%G +0.201% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -17.38%E -11.99%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -0.193%E -0.083%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -8.83%E -5.52%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -1.48%E -0.648%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -5.98%E -3.63%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 11:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.55%E -4.00%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 11:31 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.12%E -4.37%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.83%E -5.52%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.83%E -5.52%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.54%E -6.71%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.06%E -1.82%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.84%E -2.90%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 11:32 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.06%E -1.82%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.41%E -3.26%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.06%E -1.82%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.41%E -3.26%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.06%E -1.82%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.41%E -3.26%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.06%E -1.82%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.41%E -3.26%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.06%E -1.82%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.41%E -3.26%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.36%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.70%E -2.19%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 11:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.36%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.27%E -2.54%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 11:33 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.36%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.84%E -2.90%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.36%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.84%E -2.90%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.36%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.84%E -2.90%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 11:31 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.36%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.98%E -3.63%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.36%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.55%E -4.00%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-15 11:37 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.36%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.69%E -4.75%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.36%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.69%E -4.75%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.36%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.69%E -4.75%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.36%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.83%E -5.52%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-15 11:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -5.36%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -9.97%E -6.31%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.22%E -2.85%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.55%E -4.00%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.22%E -2.85%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.55%E -4.00%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.22%E -2.85%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.55%E -4.00%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV -7.08%E -3.28%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV +0.854%E +0.482%K +1.11%G +0.009% | 2.8% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -7.08%E -3.28%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.69%E -4.75%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.51%E -3.49%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.70%E -2.19%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 11:36 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.51%E -3.49%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.41%E -3.26%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 11:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.51%E -3.49%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.98%E -3.63%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.51%E -3.49%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.55%E -4.00%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-15 11:32 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.51%E -3.49%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.55%E -4.00%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-15 11:32 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.51%E -3.49%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.12%E -4.37%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-15 11:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.49%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.69%E -4.75%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.51%E -3.49%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.26%E -5.13%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.94%E -3.71%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.56%E -1.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.66%E -4.60%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.99%E -1.16%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 11:37 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.66%E -4.60%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.13%E -1.84%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-15 11:33 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.66%E -4.60%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.13%E -1.84%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.66%E -4.60%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.84%E -2.90%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.66%E -4.60%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.84%E -2.90%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.66%E -4.60%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.84%E -2.90%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.66%E -4.60%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.98%E -3.63%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.66%E -4.60%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.98%E -3.63%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.66%E -4.60%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.69%E -4.75%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.66%E -4.60%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -9.97%E -6.31%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78%EV -9.66%E -4.60%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -10.54%E -6.71%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -10.09%E -4.83%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV +1.42%E +0.800%K +1.83%G +0.026% | 4.0% | 2026-04-15 11:37 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -10.09%E -4.83%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV +1.42%E +0.800%K +1.83%G +0.026% | 4.0% | 2026-04-15 11:38 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -10.09%E -4.83%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -0.855%E -0.492%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 11:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -10.52%E -5.06%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -0.286%E -0.163%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -11.81%E -5.76%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -0.855%E -0.492%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.81%E -5.76%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.13%E -1.84%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45% | 0.2% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 0.3% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 0.3% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14% | 1.8% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.42% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.58% | 3.4% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54% | 6.5% | 2026-04-15 11:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60% | 9.7% | 2026-04-15 11:39 |