L’École des cotes

Alexander Blockx v Ben Shelton

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-15 11:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alexander Blockx (Local)

Prévision 43.02%2.32cote équitable
EV +7.55%
Avantage +3.02%
Kelly +5.03%
Croissance +0.380%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.18%42.86%43.12%45.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.192.182.5048.78%45.70%45.87%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ben Shelton (Visiteur)

Prévision 56.98%1.76cote équitable
EV +1.42%
Avantage +0.800%
Kelly +1.83%
Croissance +0.026%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.01%57.14%56.88%62.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.651.651.7868.97%60.68%60.61%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +7.55%E +3.02%K +5.03%G +0.380%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -11.68%E -7.54%K -21.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 11:39
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +7.55%E +3.02%K +5.03%G +0.380%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -14.53%E -9.69%K -29.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 11:40
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV +5.40%E +2.20%K +3.72%G +0.201%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -11.11%E -7.12%K -19.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 11:39
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV +5.40%E +2.20%K +3.72%G +0.201%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -17.38%E -11.99%K -38.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 11:40
DraftKings2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -0.193%E -0.083%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -8.83%E -5.52%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 11:40
GTbets2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -1.48%E -0.648%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -5.98%E -3.63%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 11:29
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.55%E -4.00%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 11:31
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.12%E -4.37%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 11:40
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.83%E -5.52%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 11:40
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.83%E -5.52%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 11:40
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.54%E -6.71%K -18.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-15 11:40
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.06%E -1.82%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.84%E -2.90%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 11:32
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.06%E -1.82%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.41%E -3.26%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 11:40
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.06%E -1.82%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.41%E -3.26%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 11:40
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.06%E -1.82%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.41%E -3.26%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 11:40
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.06%E -1.82%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.41%E -3.26%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 11:40
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.06%E -1.82%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.41%E -3.26%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 11:40
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.36%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.70%E -2.19%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 11:39
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.36%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.27%E -2.54%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 11:33
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.36%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.84%E -2.90%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:40
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.36%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.84%E -2.90%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:40
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.36%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.84%E -2.90%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:31
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.36%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.98%E -3.63%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-15 11:40
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.36%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.55%E -4.00%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 11:37
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.36%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.69%E -4.75%K -12.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 11:40
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.36%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.69%E -4.75%K -12.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 11:40
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.36%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.69%E -4.75%K -12.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 11:40
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.36%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.83%E -5.52%K -14.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 11:39
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -5.36%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -9.97%E -6.31%K -17.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-15 11:40
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.22%E -2.85%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.55%E -4.00%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 11:40
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.22%E -2.85%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.55%E -4.00%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 11:40
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.22%E -2.85%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.55%E -4.00%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 11:40
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV -7.08%E -3.28%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV +0.854%E +0.482%K +1.11%G +0.009%2.8%2026-04-15 11:40
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -7.08%E -3.28%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.69%E -4.75%K -12.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 11:40
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.51%E -3.49%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.70%E -2.19%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 11:36
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.51%E -3.49%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.41%E -3.26%K -8.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 11:35
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.51%E -3.49%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.98%E -3.63%K -9.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 11:40
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.51%E -3.49%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.55%E -4.00%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 11:32
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.51%E -3.49%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.55%E -4.00%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 11:32
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.51%E -3.49%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.12%E -4.37%K -11.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-15 11:30
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.49%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.69%E -4.75%K -12.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.51%E -3.49%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.26%E -5.13%K -13.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 11:40
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.94%E -3.71%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.56%E -1.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 11:40
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.66%E -4.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.99%E -1.16%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 11:37
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.66%E -4.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.13%E -1.84%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 11:33
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.66%E -4.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.13%E -1.84%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 11:40
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.66%E -4.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.84%E -2.90%K -7.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 11:40
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.66%E -4.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.84%E -2.90%K -7.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 11:40
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.66%E -4.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.84%E -2.90%K -7.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 11:40
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.66%E -4.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.98%E -3.63%K -9.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 11:40
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.66%E -4.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.98%E -3.63%K -9.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 11:40
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.66%E -4.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.69%E -4.75%K -12.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-15 11:40
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.66%E -4.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -9.97%E -6.31%K -17.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-15 11:40
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78%EV -9.66%E -4.60%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -10.54%E -6.71%K -18.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-15 11:40
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -10.09%E -4.83%K -9.25%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV +1.42%E +0.800%K +1.83%G +0.026%4.0%2026-04-15 11:37
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -10.09%E -4.83%K -9.25%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV +1.42%E +0.800%K +1.83%G +0.026%4.0%2026-04-15 11:38
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -10.09%E -4.83%K -9.25%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -0.855%E -0.492%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:30
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -10.52%E -5.06%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -0.286%E -0.163%K -0.381%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 11:40
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -11.81%E -5.76%K -11.25%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -0.855%E -0.492%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.81%E -5.76%K -11.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.13%E -1.84%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 11:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%0.2%2026-04-15 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%0.3%2026-04-15 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%0.3%2026-04-15 11:40
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%1.8%2026-04-15 11:40
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 47.42%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.58%3.4%2026-04-15 11:40
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%6.5%2026-04-15 11:40
ProphetX2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%9.7%2026-04-15 11:39