Language:English
Valentin Vacherot v Hubert Hurkacz
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Valentin Vacherot (Local)
Prediction 57.62%1.74fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.58%57.65%57.64%59.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.651.661.7064.52%60.58%60.24%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hubert Hurkacz (Visit)
Prediction 42.38%2.36fair odd
EV -0.834%
Edge -0.356%
Kelly -0.622%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.26%42.35%42.36%43.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.222.202.3446.51%45.05%45.45%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Valentin Vacherot (Local): 57.62%; Hubert Hurkacz (Visit): 42.38%. For Hubert Hurkacz (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.34, with an expected value of -0.834%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.04%E -1.20%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.80%E -1.67%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-09 15:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.20%E -1.90%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.834%E -0.356%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-09 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.20%E -1.90%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.20%E -1.90%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -5.92%E -2.67%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 16:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.53%E -1.10%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 15:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.53%E -1.10%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 15:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 15:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 15:08 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 14:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.35%E -2.62%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.35%E -2.62%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.50%E -2.46%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 16:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.35%E -2.62%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.92%E -2.67%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.35%E -2.62%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.35%E -2.62%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.35%E -2.62%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.35%E -2.62%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.35%E -2.62%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.35%E -2.62%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.35%E -2.62%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.35%E -2.62%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.35%E -2.62%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.35%E -2.62%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 15:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.35%E -2.62%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 15:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.35%E -2.62%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 15:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.38%E -1.48%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 15:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 15:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 15:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 15:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.07%E -2.26%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 15:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.07%E -2.26%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 15:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.07%E -2.26%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 15:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.07%E -2.26%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 15:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 16:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.89%E -4.13%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.89%E -4.13%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.50%E -3.35%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.80%E -1.67%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 15:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.50%E -3.35%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 15:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -5.50%E -3.35%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -7.61%E -3.49%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -5.50%E -3.35%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -7.61%E -3.49%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.50%E -3.35%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.89%E -4.13%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.50%E -3.35%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.89%E -4.13%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.08%E -3.73%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 15:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.08%E -3.73%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 15:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -6.08%E -3.73%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -8.04%E -3.70%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -6.65%E -4.11%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -4.22%E -1.87%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 16:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.65%E -4.11%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 14:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.65%E -4.11%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 15:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.65%E -4.11%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 16:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -7.23%E -4.49%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -5.92%E -2.67%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 15:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 15:22 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 15:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.69%E -6.89%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.53%E -1.10%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 15:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 16:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-04-09 15:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34% | 2.1% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 2.3% | 2026-04-09 16:05 |