A Escola das Odds

Valentin Vacherot v Hubert Hurkacz

Início: 2026-04-09 16:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Valentin Vacherot (Local)

Previsão 57.62%1.74odd justa
EV -2.04%
Vantagem -1.20%
Kelly -2.92%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.58%57.65%57.64%59.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.551.651.661.7064.52%60.58%60.24%58.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hubert Hurkacz (Visitante)

Previsão 42.38%2.36odd justa
EV -0.834%
Vantagem -0.356%
Kelly -0.622%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.34

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.26%42.35%42.36%43.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.222.202.3446.51%45.05%45.45%42.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.04%E -1.20%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.80%E -1.67%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-09 15:54
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.20%E -1.90%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.834%E -0.356%K -0.622%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-09 15:20
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.20%E -1.90%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-09 14:55
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.20%E -1.90%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -5.92%E -2.67%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 16:09
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.53%E -1.10%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 15:15
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.53%E -1.10%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 15:15
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 15:25
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 15:08
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 14:55
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 14:55
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 14:55
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 14:55
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 14:54
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 15:00
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 15:00
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 15:00
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.35%E -2.62%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 16:10
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.35%E -2.62%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.50%E -2.46%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 16:05
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.35%E -2.62%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.92%E -2.67%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 15:55
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.35%E -2.62%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 14:55
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.35%E -2.62%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 14:55
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.35%E -2.62%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 14:55
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.35%E -2.62%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 14:55
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.35%E -2.62%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 14:55
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.35%E -2.62%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.35%E -2.62%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 14:55
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.35%E -2.62%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 14:55
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.35%E -2.62%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 15:00
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.35%E -2.62%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 15:00
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.35%E -2.62%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 15:01
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.35%E -2.62%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 15:00
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.38%E -1.48%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 15:25
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 15:25
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 15:20
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 15:25
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.07%E -2.26%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 15:25
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.07%E -2.26%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 15:25
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.07%E -2.26%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 15:25
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.07%E -2.26%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 15:25
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-09 16:05
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-09 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.89%E -4.13%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 14:55
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.92%E -2.98%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.89%E -4.13%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 14:55
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.50%E -3.35%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.80%E -1.67%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 15:25
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.50%E -3.35%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 15:24
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -5.50%E -3.35%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -7.61%E -3.49%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-09 14:55
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -5.50%E -3.35%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -7.61%E -3.49%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-09 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.50%E -3.35%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.89%E -4.13%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-09 14:55
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.50%E -3.35%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.89%E -4.13%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-09 14:55
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.08%E -3.73%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 15:25
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.08%E -3.73%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 15:25
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -6.08%E -3.73%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -8.04%E -3.70%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-09 14:55
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -6.65%E -4.11%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -4.22%E -1.87%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 16:05
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.65%E -4.11%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 14:54
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.65%E -4.11%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 15:15
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.65%E -4.11%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 16:05
NetBet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -7.23%E -4.49%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -5.92%E -2.67%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 15:10
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-09 15:22
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-09 15:00
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.69%E -6.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.53%E -1.10%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-09 15:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-04-09 16:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-04-09 16:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-04-09 16:10
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-04-09 16:10
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-04-09 15:45
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%2.1%2026-04-09 16:10
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-04-09 16:05