Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.25
assuming max odds 1.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Terence Atmane (Local): 43.98%; Ethan Quinn (Visit): 56.02%. For Ethan Quinn (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.836%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -12.04%E -6.02%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.836%E +0.465%K +1.05%G +0.009% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -9.40%E -4.56%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV +0.276%E +0.154%K +0.349%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -2.80%E -1.27%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -5.00%E -2.32%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -5.00%E -2.32%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.52%E -4.10%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 11:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.04%E -6.02%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.04%E -6.02%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.04%E -6.02%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.88%E -2.75%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.56%E -2.10%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.77%E -2.80%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 11:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.77%E -2.80%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.77%E -2.80%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.84%E -4.80%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.77%E -2.80%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-07 11:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.84%E -4.80%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.77%E -2.80%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.84%E -4.80%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.77%E -2.80%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.84%E -4.80%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.77%E -2.80%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.05%E -0.465%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.36%E -1.07%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 11:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.56%E -2.10%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.56%E -2.10%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.56%E -2.10%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.56%E -2.10%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.56%E -2.10%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.56%E -2.10%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.56%E -2.10%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 11:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -8.96%E -4.33%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-07 11:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -5.88%E -2.75%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 11:27 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -7.01%E -4.22%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -7.01%E -4.22%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -7.01%E -4.22%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.05%E -0.465%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -1.49%E -0.663%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -1.92%E -0.863%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -8.13%E -4.96%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -8.13%E -4.96%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 11:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -8.13%E -4.96%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -1.05%E -0.465%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -8.69%E -5.33%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -8.69%E -5.33%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.25%E -5.71%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.84%EV -9.81%E -6.09%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-07 11:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.84%E -4.80%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -10.37%E -6.48%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 0.3% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74% | 0.7% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82% | 2.5% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |