La escuela de los momios

Terence Atmane v Ethan Quinn

Inicio: 2026-04-07 11:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Terence Atmane (Local)

Predicción 43.98%2.27momio equitativo
EV -1.05%
Ventaja -0.465%
Kelly -0.836%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.01%43.99%44.11%47.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.132.142.2550.00%46.86%46.73%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Ethan Quinn (Visitante)

Predicción 56.02%1.79momio equitativo
EV +0.836%
Ventaja +0.465%
Kelly +1.05%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%56.01%55.89%57.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.691.681.8062.50%59.27%59.52%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -12.04%E -6.02%K -12.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.836%E +0.465%K +1.05%G +0.009%5.6%2026-04-07 11:40
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -9.40%E -4.56%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV +0.276%E +0.154%K +0.349%G +0.001%4.4%2026-04-07 11:40
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -2.80%E -1.27%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-07 11:40
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-07 11:40
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -5.00%E -2.32%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-07 11:35
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -5.00%E -2.32%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-07 11:35
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.52%E -4.10%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 11:40
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 11:40
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 11:34
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 11:35
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.04%E -6.02%K -12.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 11:40
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.04%E -6.02%K -12.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 11:40
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.04%E -6.02%K -12.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 11:40
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 11:35
Bet Right2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.88%E -2.75%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 11:35
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 11:35
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 11:35
ReBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.56%E -2.10%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.77%E -2.80%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 11:34
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.77%E -2.80%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 11:35
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.77%E -2.80%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 11:35
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.84%E -4.80%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.77%E -2.80%K -6.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 11:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.84%E -4.80%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.77%E -2.80%K -6.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.84%E -4.80%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.77%E -2.80%K -6.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 11:35
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.84%E -4.80%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.77%E -2.80%K -6.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 11:35
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 11:35
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.05%E -0.465%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-07 11:35
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.36%E -1.07%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 11:35
GTbets2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 11:35
Bally Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 11:34
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.56%E -2.10%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 11:40
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.56%E -2.10%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 11:40
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.56%E -2.10%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 11:40
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.56%E -2.10%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 11:40
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.56%E -2.10%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 11:40
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.56%E -2.10%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 11:40
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.56%E -2.10%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 11:40
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-07 11:34
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -8.96%E -4.33%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 11:34
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -5.88%E -2.75%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-07 11:40
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 11:27
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -7.01%E -4.22%K -10.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 11:40
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -7.01%E -4.22%K -10.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 11:40
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -7.01%E -4.22%K -10.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 11:40
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.05%E -0.465%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 11:35
Unibet (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -1.49%E -0.663%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 11:35
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 11:35
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 11:35
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 11:35
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 11:35
DraftKings2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -1.92%E -0.863%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -8.13%E -4.96%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 11:40
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -8.13%E -4.96%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 11:34
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -8.13%E -4.96%K -12.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-07 11:40
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -1.05%E -0.465%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -8.69%E -5.33%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 11:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -8.69%E -5.33%K -13.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-07 11:35
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.25%E -5.71%K -14.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 11:35
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.84%EV -9.81%E -6.09%K -16.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-07 11:39
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.84%E -4.80%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -10.37%E -6.48%K -17.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-07 11:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-04-07 11:40
Novig2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%0.7%2026-04-07 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-04-07 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-04-07 11:40
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-04-07 11:40
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.5%2026-04-07 11:40