A Escola das Odds

Moise Kouame v Ugo Humbert

Início: 2026-04-05 17:20 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Moise Kouame (Local)

Previsão 22.06%4.53odd justa
EV +1.46%
Vantagem +0.317%
Kelly +0.404%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.69%22.23%22.05%24.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.214.174.6026.67%23.76%23.98%21.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ugo Humbert (Visitante)

Previsão 77.94%1.28odd justa
EV -1.79%
Vantagem -1.42%
Kelly -6.89%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.45%77.77%77.95%79.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.171.221.221.2685.47%81.79%81.97%79.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +1.46%E +0.317%K +0.404%G +0.006%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 16:44
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.46%E +0.317%K +0.404%G +0.006%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 16:45
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.750%E -0.167%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 16:45
FanDuel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.750%E -0.167%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 16:45
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.750%E -0.167%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 16:45
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.750%E -0.167%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 16:45
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.750%E -0.167%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 16:45
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.750%E -0.167%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 16:45
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.750%E -0.167%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 16:44
Pinnacle4.42I 22.62%NM 22.05%EV -2.51%E -0.569%K -0.735%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.95%EV -2.57%E -2.06%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-05 16:55
Betsson4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.96%E -0.672%K -0.869%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 16:44
NordicBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.96%E -0.672%K -0.869%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 16:44
Unibet (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.96%E -0.672%K -0.869%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 16:44
Winamax (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.96%E -0.672%K -0.869%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 16:45
ReBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.96%E -0.672%K -0.869%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 16:44
PointsBet (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.16%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 16:44
Bovada4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.26%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 16:53
theScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.26%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 16:45
DraftKings4.23I 23.64%NM 22.53%EV -6.70%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.47%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 16:55
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.37%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 17:05
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.37%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.37%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 16:44
BetMGM4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.37%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 16:44
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.37%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 16:49
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.37%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 16:45
1xBet4.18I 23.92%NM 22.74%EV -7.81%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.26%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 16:44
GTbets4.16I 24.04%NM 22.82%EV -8.25%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.18%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 17:04
Bet Right4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 17:04
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
Bally Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
Betway4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 16:54
Betr (AU)4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -10.67%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 17:05
BetOnline.ag4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -10.90%E -2.70%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -1.79%E -1.42%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 17:00
LowVig.ag4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -10.90%E -2.70%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -1.79%E -1.42%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 16:55
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.78%E -2.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 16:44
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.78%E -2.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 16:54
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.78%E -2.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 16:44
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.78%E -2.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 16:44
PMU (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -13.98%E -3.59%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 16:55
NetBet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -13.98%E -3.59%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.92%EV -8.81%E -7.53%K -51.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 16:45
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -17.29%E -4.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 16:53
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-04-05 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-04-05 17:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-04-05 17:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-04-05 17:01
ProphetX4.25I 23.53%NM 23.29%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.71%1.0%2026-04-05 17:05
Novig4.27I 23.42%NM 23.06%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.94%1.5%2026-04-05 17:05
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%2.6%2026-04-05 16:50