L’École des cotes

Moise Kouame v Ugo Humbert

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 17:20 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Moise Kouame (Local)

Prévision 22.06%4.53cote équitable
EV +1.46%
Avantage +0.317%
Kelly +0.404%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.69%22.23%22.05%24.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.214.174.6026.67%23.76%23.98%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ugo Humbert (Visiteur)

Prévision 77.94%1.28cote équitable
EV -1.79%
Avantage -1.42%
Kelly -6.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.45%77.77%77.95%79.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.171.221.221.2685.47%81.79%81.97%79.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +1.46%E +0.317%K +0.404%G +0.006%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 16:44
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.46%E +0.317%K +0.404%G +0.006%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 16:45
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.750%E -0.167%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 16:45
FanDuel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.750%E -0.167%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 16:45
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.750%E -0.167%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 16:45
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.750%E -0.167%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 16:45
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.750%E -0.167%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 16:45
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.750%E -0.167%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 16:45
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.750%E -0.167%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 16:44
Pinnacle4.42I 22.62%NM 22.05%EV -2.51%E -0.569%K -0.735%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.95%EV -2.57%E -2.06%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-05 16:55
Betsson4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.96%E -0.672%K -0.869%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 16:44
NordicBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.96%E -0.672%K -0.869%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 16:44
Unibet (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.96%E -0.672%K -0.869%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 16:44
Winamax (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.96%E -0.672%K -0.869%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 16:45
ReBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.96%E -0.672%K -0.869%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 16:44
PointsBet (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.16%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 16:44
Bovada4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.26%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 16:53
theScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.26%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 16:45
DraftKings4.23I 23.64%NM 22.53%EV -6.70%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.47%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 16:55
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.37%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 17:05
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.37%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.37%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 16:44
BetMGM4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.37%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 16:44
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.37%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 16:49
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.37%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 16:45
1xBet4.18I 23.92%NM 22.74%EV -7.81%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.26%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 16:44
GTbets4.16I 24.04%NM 22.82%EV -8.25%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.18%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 17:04
Bet Right4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 17:04
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
Bally Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
Betway4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 16:54
Betr (AU)4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -10.67%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 17:05
BetOnline.ag4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -10.90%E -2.70%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -1.79%E -1.42%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 17:00
LowVig.ag4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -10.90%E -2.70%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -1.79%E -1.42%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 16:55
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.78%E -2.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 16:44
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.78%E -2.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 16:54
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.78%E -2.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 16:44
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.78%E -2.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 16:44
PMU (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -13.98%E -3.59%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 16:55
NetBet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -13.98%E -3.59%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.92%EV -8.81%E -7.53%K -51.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 16:45
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -17.29%E -4.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 16:53
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-04-05 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-04-05 17:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-04-05 17:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-04-05 17:01
ProphetX4.25I 23.53%NM 23.29%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.71%1.0%2026-04-05 17:05
Novig4.27I 23.42%NM 23.06%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.94%1.5%2026-04-05 17:05
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%2.6%2026-04-05 16:50