Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Moise Kouame v Ugo Humbert

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 17:20 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Moise Kouame (Local)

Prévision 22.06%4.53cote équitable
EV +1.46%
Avantage +0.317%
Kelly +0.404%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.69%22.23%22.05%24.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.214.174.6026.67%23.76%23.98%21.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Ugo Humbert (Visiteur)

Prévision 77.94%1.28cote équitable
EV -1.79%
Avantage -1.42%
Kelly -6.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.45%77.77%77.95%79.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.171.221.221.2685.47%81.79%81.97%79.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Moise Kouame (Local) : 22.06% ; Ugo Humbert (Visiteur) : 77.94%. Pour Moise Kouame (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.53. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.60, soit une espérance positive de +1.46%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +1.46%E +0.317%K +0.404%G +0.006%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 16:44
SportsBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.46%E +0.317%K +0.404%G +0.006%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 16:45
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.750%E -0.167%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 16:45
FanDuel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.750%E -0.167%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 16:45
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.750%E -0.167%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 16:45
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.750%E -0.167%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 16:45
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.750%E -0.167%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.750%E -0.167%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.750%E -0.167%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 16:44
Pinnacle🎯4.42I 22.62%NM 22.05%EV -2.51%E -0.569%K -0.735%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.95%EV -2.57%E -2.06%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-05 16:55
Betsson🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.96%E -0.672%K -0.869%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 16:44
NordicBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.96%E -0.672%K -0.869%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 16:44
Unibet (UK)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.96%E -0.672%K -0.869%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 16:44
Winamax (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.96%E -0.672%K -0.869%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 16:45
ReBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.96%E -0.672%K -0.869%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.69%E -4.70%K -27.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 16:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.16%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 16:44
Bovada🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.26%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 16:53
theScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.26%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 16:45
DraftKings🎯4.23I 23.64%NM 22.53%EV -6.70%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.47%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.37%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 17:05
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.37%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.37%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 16:44
BetMGM🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.37%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 16:44
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.37%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 16:49
Caesars🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.37%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 16:45
1xBet🎯4.18I 23.92%NM 22.74%EV -7.81%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.26%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 16:44
GTbets🎯4.16I 24.04%NM 22.82%EV -8.25%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.18%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 17:04
Bet Right🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 17:04
LeoVegas🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
Grosvenor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
Casumo🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
TABtouch🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
Bally Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
betPARX🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:55
Betway🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 16:54
Betr (AU)🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -10.67%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -4.13%E -3.36%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -10.90%E -2.70%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -1.79%E -1.42%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -10.90%E -2.70%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -1.79%E -1.42%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 16:55
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.78%E -2.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 16:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.78%E -2.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.35%E -2.70%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 16:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.78%E -2.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 16:44
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.78%E -2.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.47%E -5.39%K -32.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 16:44
PMU (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -13.98%E -3.59%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 16:55
NetBet (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -13.98%E -3.59%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.92%EV -8.81%E -7.53%K -51.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 16:45
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -17.29%E -4.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -4.91%E -4.02%K -22.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 16:53
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-04-05 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-04-05 17:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-04-05 17:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-04-05 17:01
ProphetX4.25I 23.53%NM 23.29%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.71%1.0%2026-04-05 17:05
Novig4.27I 23.42%NM 23.06%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.94%1.5%2026-04-05 17:05
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%2.6%2026-04-05 16:50