A Escola das Odds

Marin Cilic v Alexander Shevchenko

Início: 2026-04-07 10:47 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Marin Cilic (Local)

Previsão 53.02%1.89odd justa
EV +6.05%
Vantagem +3.02%
Kelly +6.05%
Crescimento +0.366%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.67%52.71%53.16%56.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.771.782.0061.73%56.38%56.18%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alexander Shevchenko (Visitante)

Previsão 46.98%2.13odd justa
EV +1.00%
Vantagem +0.465%
Kelly +0.870%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.72%47.29%46.84%53.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.752.002.002.1557.14%49.88%50.00%46.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV +6.05%E +3.02%K +6.05%G +0.366%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -17.79%E -10.17%K -23.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-07 10:44
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +1.27%E +0.667%K +1.40%G +0.018%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -10.27%E -5.38%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 10:42
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +1.27%E +0.667%K +1.40%G +0.018%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -10.27%E -5.38%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 10:41
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV +1.27%E +0.667%K +1.40%G +0.018%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -11.68%E -6.21%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 10:45
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV +0.214%E +0.113%K +0.240%G +0.001%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-07 10:45
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -0.847%E -0.453%K -0.973%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -12.15%E -6.50%K -13.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 10:44
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 10:42
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -6.52%E -3.27%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 10:45
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.27%E -5.38%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 10:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.27%E -5.38%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 10:45
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -12.15%E -6.50%K -13.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-07 10:45
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.50%E -1.92%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 10:37
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.03%E -2.23%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 10:37
Betr (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.03%E -2.23%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.46%E -3.78%K -7.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 10:38
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 10:45
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 10:45
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 10:37
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.99%E -3.53%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 10:40
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.40%E -4.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 10:45
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.40%E -4.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 10:45
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 10:45
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 10:44
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -8.86%E -4.57%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-07 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.15%E -3.47%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -6.99%E -3.53%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 10:36
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.15%E -3.47%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -6.99%E -3.53%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 10:37
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.68%E -3.79%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 10:45
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.35%E -0.642%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 10:45
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.74%E -4.45%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 10:45
DraftKings1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -2.29%E -1.10%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 10:45
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 10:40
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 10:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -7.93%E -4.04%K -8.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-07 10:45
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -9.33%E -5.46%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV +0.530%E +0.248%K +0.465%G +0.002%5.2%2026-04-07 10:45
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -9.33%E -5.46%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV +0.530%E +0.248%K +0.465%G +0.002%5.2%2026-04-07 10:45
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -9.33%E -5.46%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.35%E -0.642%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 10:45
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -9.86%E -5.80%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -0.409%E -0.193%K -0.365%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 10:45
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.86%E -5.80%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.35%E -0.642%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 10:45
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.68%EV -9.86%E -5.80%K -14.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -7.46%E -3.78%K -7.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-07 10:45
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -10.92%E -6.50%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -1.35%E -0.642%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-07 10:45
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -10.92%E -6.50%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -1.35%E -0.642%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-07 10:45
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -11.45%E -6.86%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +1.00%E +0.465%K +0.870%G +0.009%6.4%2026-04-07 10:45
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -11.45%E -6.86%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -1.35%E -0.642%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 10:45
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -11.45%E -6.86%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -2.29%E -1.10%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 10:45
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -11.98%E -7.22%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 10:45
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -14.10%E -8.71%K -22.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.51%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-07 10:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-04-07 10:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-04-07 10:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-04-07 10:45
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73%1.2%2026-04-07 10:45
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%2.1%2026-04-07 10:45