Die Wettquotenschule

Marin Cilic v Alexander Shevchenko

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-07 10:47 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

45 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Marin Cilic (Heim)

Prognose 53.02%1.89faire Quote
EV +6.05%
Vorteil +3.02%
Kelly +6.05%
Wachstum +0.366%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
46.67%52.71%53.16%56.28%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.621.771.782.0061.73%56.38%56.18%50.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Alexander Shevchenko (Auswärts)

Prognose 46.98%2.13faire Quote
EV +1.00%
Vorteil +0.465%
Kelly +0.870%
Wachstum +0.009%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.15

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
43.72%47.29%46.84%53.33%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.752.002.002.1557.14%49.88%50.00%46.51%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (45 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV +6.05%E +3.02%K +6.05%G +0.366%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -17.79%E -10.17%K -23.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-07 10:44
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +1.27%E +0.667%K +1.40%G +0.018%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -10.27%E -5.38%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 10:42
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +1.27%E +0.667%K +1.40%G +0.018%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -10.27%E -5.38%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 10:41
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV +1.27%E +0.667%K +1.40%G +0.018%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -11.68%E -6.21%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 10:45
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV +0.214%E +0.113%K +0.240%G +0.001%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-07 10:45
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -0.847%E -0.453%K -0.973%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -12.15%E -6.50%K -13.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 10:44
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 10:42
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -6.52%E -3.27%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 10:45
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.27%E -5.38%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 10:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.27%E -5.38%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 10:45
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -12.15%E -6.50%K -13.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-07 10:45
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.50%E -1.92%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 10:37
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.03%E -2.23%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 10:37
Betr (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.03%E -2.23%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.46%E -3.78%K -7.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 10:38
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 10:45
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 10:45
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 10:37
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.99%E -3.53%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 10:40
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.40%E -4.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 10:45
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.40%E -4.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 10:45
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 10:45
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 10:44
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -8.86%E -4.57%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-07 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.15%E -3.47%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -6.99%E -3.53%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 10:36
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.15%E -3.47%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -6.99%E -3.53%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 10:37
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.68%E -3.79%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 10:45
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.35%E -0.642%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 10:45
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.74%E -4.45%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 10:45
DraftKings1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -2.29%E -1.10%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 10:45
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 10:40
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 10:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -7.93%E -4.04%K -8.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-07 10:45
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -9.33%E -5.46%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV +0.530%E +0.248%K +0.465%G +0.002%5.2%2026-04-07 10:45
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -9.33%E -5.46%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV +0.530%E +0.248%K +0.465%G +0.002%5.2%2026-04-07 10:45
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -9.33%E -5.46%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.35%E -0.642%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 10:45
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -9.86%E -5.80%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -0.409%E -0.193%K -0.365%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 10:45
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.86%E -5.80%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.35%E -0.642%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 10:45
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.68%EV -9.86%E -5.80%K -14.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -7.46%E -3.78%K -7.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-07 10:45
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -10.92%E -6.50%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -1.35%E -0.642%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-07 10:45
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -10.92%E -6.50%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -1.35%E -0.642%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-07 10:45
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -11.45%E -6.86%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +1.00%E +0.465%K +0.870%G +0.009%6.4%2026-04-07 10:45
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -11.45%E -6.86%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -1.35%E -0.642%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 10:45
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -11.45%E -6.86%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -2.29%E -1.10%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 10:45
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -11.98%E -7.22%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 10:45
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -14.10%E -8.71%K -22.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.51%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-07 10:45
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-04-07 10:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-04-07 10:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-04-07 10:45
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73%1.2%2026-04-07 10:45
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%2.1%2026-04-07 10:45