L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Marin Cilic v Alexander Shevchenko
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Marin Cilic (Local)
Prévision 53.02%1.89cote équitable
EV +6.05%
Avantage +3.02%
Kelly +6.05%
Croissance +0.366%
avec la cote maximale 2.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.67%52.71%53.16%56.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.771.782.0061.73%56.38%56.18%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Alexander Shevchenko (Visiteur)
Prévision 46.98%2.13cote équitable
EV +1.00%
Avantage +0.465%
Kelly +0.870%
Croissance +0.009%
avec la cote maximale 2.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.72%47.29%46.84%53.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.752.002.002.1557.14%49.88%50.00%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV +6.05%E +3.02%K +6.05%G +0.366% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -17.79%E -10.17%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 10:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +1.27%E +0.667%K +1.40%G +0.018% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -10.27%E -5.38%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 10:42 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +1.27%E +0.667%K +1.40%G +0.018% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -10.27%E -5.38%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 10:41 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV +1.27%E +0.667%K +1.40%G +0.018% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -11.68%E -6.21%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV +0.214%E +0.113%K +0.240%G +0.001% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -0.847%E -0.453%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -12.15%E -6.50%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 10:44 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 10:42 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -6.52%E -3.27%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.27%E -5.38%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.27%E -5.38%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -12.15%E -6.50%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.50%E -1.92%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 10:37 |
| GTbets | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.03%E -2.23%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 10:37 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.03%E -2.23%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.46%E -3.78%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-07 10:38 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 10:37 |
| PlayUp | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.99%E -3.53%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 10:40 |
| Betsson | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.40%E -4.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.40%E -4.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| Unibet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 10:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -8.86%E -4.57%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.15%E -3.47%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -6.99%E -3.53%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 10:36 |
| Neds | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.15%E -3.47%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -6.99%E -3.53%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 10:37 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.68%E -3.79%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.35%E -0.642%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| Caesars | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.74%E -4.45%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -2.29%E -1.10%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-07 10:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-07 10:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -7.93%E -4.04%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| Casumo | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -9.33%E -5.46%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV +0.530%E +0.248%K +0.465%G +0.002% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -9.33%E -5.46%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV +0.530%E +0.248%K +0.465%G +0.002% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -9.33%E -5.46%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.35%E -0.642%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -9.86%E -5.80%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -0.409%E -0.193%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.86%E -5.80%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.35%E -0.642%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.68%EV -9.86%E -5.80%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -7.46%E -3.78%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -10.92%E -6.50%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -1.35%E -0.642%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -10.92%E -6.50%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -1.35%E -0.642%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -11.45%E -6.86%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +1.00%E +0.465%K +0.870%G +0.009% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -11.45%E -6.86%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -1.35%E -0.642%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -11.45%E -6.86%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -2.29%E -1.10%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -11.98%E -7.22%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -14.10%E -8.71%K -22.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.51%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73% | 1.2% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47% | 2.1% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |