A Escola das Odds

Gael Monfils v Tallon Griekspoor

Início: 2026-04-05 15:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Gael Monfils (Local)

Previsão 36.06%2.77odd justa
EV -0.833%
Vantagem -0.303%
Kelly -0.476%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.73%36.29%36.05%41.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.582.602.7545.45%38.80%38.46%36.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tallon Griekspoor (Visitante)

Previsão 63.94%1.56odd justa
EV +2.30%
Vantagem +1.44%
Kelly +3.84%
Crescimento +0.088%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.36%63.71%63.95%66.27%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.401.481.481.6071.43%67.58%67.57%62.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -17.06%E -7.42%K -13.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +2.30%E +1.44%K +3.84%G +0.088%6.0%2026-04-05 14:45
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -20.67%E -9.39%K -17.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV +0.385%E +0.245%K +0.675%G +0.003%9.1%2026-04-05 14:47
1xBet2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -10.21%E -4.10%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -0.894%E -0.577%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 14:40
ReBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -10.57%E -4.26%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -0.894%E -0.577%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 14:33
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.65%E -4.76%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.894%E -0.577%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 14:49
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -1.53%E -0.996%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 14:48
GTbets2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -10.21%E -4.10%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -1.53%E -0.996%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 14:39
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.17%E -1.42%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 14:40
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.17%E -1.42%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 14:34
Pinnacle2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.64%E -0.976%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.81%E -1.85%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-05 14:40
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.81%E -1.85%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 14:42
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.81%E -1.85%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 14:42
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -13.45%E -5.61%K -9.61%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -2.81%E -1.85%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 14:50
LowVig.ag2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.19%E -0.436%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 14:39
BetOnline.ag2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.19%E -0.436%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 14:39
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 14:34
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 14:48
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 14:50
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.65%E -4.76%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 14:29
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.65%E -4.76%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 14:29
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 14:50
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 14:50
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 14:50
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 14:50
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 14:50
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 14:50
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 14:50
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 14:49
Caesars2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 14:49
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -8.41%E -3.31%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 14:50
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 14:50
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.64%E -0.976%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.01%E -4.09%K -12.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 14:50
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.01%E -4.09%K -12.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 14:50
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.01%E -4.09%K -12.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 14:50
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -5.16%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -6.01%E -4.09%K -12.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 14:50
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.65%E -4.55%K -14.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 14:50
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.65%E -4.55%K -14.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 14:50
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.833%E -0.303%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.29%E -5.03%K -16.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 14:49
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.29%E -5.03%K -16.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 14:50
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.29%E -5.03%K -16.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 14:50
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.833%E -0.303%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 14:50
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.833%E -0.303%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 14:50
SportsBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 14:45
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.52%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 14:50
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.52%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 14:50
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.52%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 14:50
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 14:50
Fanatics2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 14:50
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 14:49
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -8.57%E -5.99%K -19.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -8.57%E -5.99%K -19.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 14:50
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -8.57%E -5.99%K -19.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 14:50
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -11.65%E -4.76%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.31%EV -9.21%E -6.48%K -21.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 14:39
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -0.833%E -0.303%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 14:50
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -0.833%E -0.303%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 14:50
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-05 14:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-04-05 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-04-05 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-04-05 14:50
ProphetX3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-04-05 14:50
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%1.4%2026-04-05 14:50
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%2.8%2026-04-05 14:50
Novig2.83I 35.34%NM 33.10%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%6.8%2026-04-05 14:50