L’École des cotes

Gael Monfils v Tallon Griekspoor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 15:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Gael Monfils (Local)

Prévision 36.06%2.77cote équitable
EV -0.833%
Avantage -0.303%
Kelly -0.476%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.73%36.29%36.05%41.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.582.602.7545.45%38.80%38.46%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tallon Griekspoor (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.94%1.56cote équitable
EV +2.30%
Avantage +1.44%
Kelly +3.84%
Croissance +0.088%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.36%63.71%63.95%66.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.481.481.6071.43%67.58%67.57%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -17.06%E -7.42%K -13.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +2.30%E +1.44%K +3.84%G +0.088%6.0%2026-04-05 14:45
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -20.67%E -9.39%K -17.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV +0.385%E +0.245%K +0.675%G +0.003%9.1%2026-04-05 14:47
1xBet2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -10.21%E -4.10%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -0.894%E -0.577%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 14:40
ReBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -10.57%E -4.26%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -0.894%E -0.577%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 14:33
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.65%E -4.76%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.894%E -0.577%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 14:49
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -1.53%E -0.996%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 14:48
GTbets2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -10.21%E -4.10%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -1.53%E -0.996%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 14:39
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.17%E -1.42%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 14:40
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.17%E -1.42%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 14:34
Pinnacle2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.64%E -0.976%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.81%E -1.85%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-05 14:40
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.81%E -1.85%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 14:42
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.81%E -1.85%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 14:42
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -13.45%E -5.61%K -9.61%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -2.81%E -1.85%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 14:50
LowVig.ag2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.19%E -0.436%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 14:39
BetOnline.ag2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.19%E -0.436%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 14:39
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 14:34
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 14:48
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 14:50
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.65%E -4.76%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 14:29
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.65%E -4.76%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 14:29
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 14:50
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 14:50
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 14:50
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 14:50
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 14:50
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 14:50
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 14:50
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 14:49
Caesars2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 14:49
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -8.41%E -3.31%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 14:50
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 14:50
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.64%E -0.976%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.01%E -4.09%K -12.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 14:50
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.01%E -4.09%K -12.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 14:50
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.01%E -4.09%K -12.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 14:50
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -5.16%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -6.01%E -4.09%K -12.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 14:50
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.65%E -4.55%K -14.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 14:50
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.65%E -4.55%K -14.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 14:50
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.833%E -0.303%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.29%E -5.03%K -16.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 14:49
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.29%E -5.03%K -16.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 14:50
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.29%E -5.03%K -16.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 14:50
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.833%E -0.303%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 14:50
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.833%E -0.303%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 14:50
SportsBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 14:45
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.52%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 14:50
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.52%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 14:50
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.52%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 14:50
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 14:50
Fanatics2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 14:50
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 14:49
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -8.57%E -5.99%K -19.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -8.57%E -5.99%K -19.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 14:50
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -8.57%E -5.99%K -19.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 14:50
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -11.65%E -4.76%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.31%EV -9.21%E -6.48%K -21.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 14:39
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -0.833%E -0.303%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 14:50
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -0.833%E -0.303%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 14:50
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-05 14:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-04-05 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-04-05 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-04-05 14:50
ProphetX3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-04-05 14:50
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%1.4%2026-04-05 14:50
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%2.8%2026-04-05 14:50
Novig2.83I 35.34%NM 33.10%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%6.8%2026-04-05 14:50