La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Gael Monfils v Tallon Griekspoor
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Gael Monfils (Local)
Predicción 36.06%2.77momio equitativo
EV -0.833%
Ventaja -0.303%
Kelly -0.476%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.73%36.29%36.05%41.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.582.602.7545.45%38.80%38.46%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Tallon Griekspoor (Visitante)
Predicción 63.94%1.56momio equitativo
EV +2.30%
Ventaja +1.44%
Kelly +3.84%
Crecimiento +0.088%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.36%63.71%63.95%66.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.481.481.6071.43%67.58%67.57%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -17.06%E -7.42%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +2.30%E +1.44%K +3.84%G +0.088% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -20.67%E -9.39%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV +0.385%E +0.245%K +0.675%G +0.003% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 14:47 |
| 1xBet | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -10.21%E -4.10%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -0.894%E -0.577%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 14:40 |
| ReBet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -10.57%E -4.26%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -0.894%E -0.577%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 14:33 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.65%E -4.76%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.894%E -0.577%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 14:49 |
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -1.53%E -0.996%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-05 14:48 |
| GTbets | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -10.21%E -4.10%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -1.53%E -0.996%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 14:39 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.17%E -1.42%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 14:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.17%E -1.42%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 14:34 |
| Pinnacle | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.64%E -0.976%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.81%E -1.85%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-05 14:40 |
| Bet Right | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.81%E -1.85%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 14:42 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.81%E -1.85%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-05 14:42 |
| TAB | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -13.45%E -5.61%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -2.81%E -1.85%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.19%E -0.436%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-05 14:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.19%E -0.436%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-05 14:39 |
| Bally Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 14:34 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 14:48 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.65%E -4.76%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.65%E -4.76%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.09%E -2.73%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Casumo | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Unibet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| betPARX | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 14:49 |
| Caesars | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 14:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -8.41%E -3.31%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.37%E -3.63%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.64%E -0.976%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.01%E -4.09%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Betsson | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.01%E -4.09%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.01%E -4.09%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -5.16%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -6.01%E -4.09%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.65%E -4.55%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.65%E -4.55%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.833%E -0.303%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.29%E -5.03%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 14:49 |
| Grosvenor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.29%E -5.03%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.29%E -5.03%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.833%E -0.303%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.833%E -0.303%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| SportsBet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.52%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.52%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.52%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Fliff | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-05 14:49 |
| LeoVegas | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -8.57%E -5.99%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -8.57%E -5.99%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -8.57%E -5.99%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -11.65%E -4.76%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.31%EV -9.21%E -6.48%K -21.92%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-05 14:39 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -0.833%E -0.303%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -0.833%E -0.303%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.21%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-04-05 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| ProphetX | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Matchbook | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 1.4% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74% | 2.8% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Novig | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.10% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |