A Escola das Odds

Francisco Cerundolo v Tomas Machac

Início: 2026-04-08 12:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Francisco Cerundolo (Local)

Previsão 72.28%1.38odd justa
EV -1.69%
Vantagem -1.25%
Kelly -4.71%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.51%72.16%72.54%74.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.251.321.321.3680.00%76.01%75.76%73.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tomas Machac (Visitante)

Previsão 27.72%3.61odd justa
EV +1.17%
Vantagem +0.319%
Kelly +0.440%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.77%27.84%27.46%30.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.373.353.6532.26%29.69%29.85%27.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV +1.17%E +0.319%K +0.440%G +0.005%4.3%2026-04-08 11:45
SportsBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -6.75%E -5.24%K -23.29%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV +0.889%E +0.244%K +0.337%G +0.003%5.0%2026-04-08 11:45
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.220%E -0.061%K -0.085%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-08 11:45
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.220%E -0.061%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 11:43
FanDuel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.220%E -0.061%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 11:45
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.75%E -5.24%K -23.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.220%E -0.061%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 11:45
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.65%E -7.72%K -38.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -0.220%E -0.061%K -0.085%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 11:45
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -7.48%E -5.84%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.28%EV -0.497%E -0.138%K -0.192%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 11:45
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60%EV -3.14%E -2.34%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%EV -1.61%E -0.452%K -0.630%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-08 11:45
Bet Right1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.61%E -0.452%K -0.630%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 11:45
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -2.16%E -0.612%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 11:55
NordicBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.99%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 11:45
Betsson1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.99%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 11:45
ReBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.99%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 11:45
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.99%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 11:45
GTbets1.31I 76.34%NM 72.71%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.29%EV -3.27%E -0.937%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 11:45
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -2.42%E -1.79%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -4.38%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-08 11:45
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.38%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 11:45
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.38%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 11:45
theScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.38%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 11:45
NetBet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.48%E -5.84%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.38%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 11:45
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 11:45
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-08 11:45
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.20%E -6.46%K -30.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-08 11:45
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.14%E -2.34%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.59%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 11:55
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.14%E -2.34%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.59%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 11:45
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 11:45
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 11:45
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 11:45
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 11:45
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 11:45
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 11:45
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 11:45
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 11:45
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 11:45
Bally Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 11:45
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 11:45
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.53%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 11:45
Caesars1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.53%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 11:44
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.53%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 11:49
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.53%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 11:45
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.53%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 11:45
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.53%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 11:45
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 11:45
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 11:45
Fliff1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 11:45
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.14%E -2.34%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -11.31%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 11:45
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.31%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 11:54
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.31%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-08 11:41
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.69%E -1.25%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 11:45
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.69%E -1.25%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 11:45
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.69%E -1.25%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 11:45
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.69%E -1.25%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 11:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 11:45
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 11:45
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 11:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-04-08 11:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-04-08 11:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-04-08 11:45
Matchbook1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-04-08 11:45
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-04-08 11:55
Smarkets1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-04-08 11:45