La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Francisco Cerundolo v Tomas Machac
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Francisco Cerundolo (Casa)
Previsione 72.28%1.38quota equa
EV -1.69%
Vantaggio -1.25%
Kelly -4.71%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.36
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.51%72.16%72.54%74.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.321.321.3680.00%76.01%75.76%73.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Tomas Machac (Trasferta)
Previsione 27.72%3.61quota equa
EV +1.17%
Vantaggio +0.319%
Kelly +0.440%
Crescita +0.005%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.65
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.77%27.84%27.46%30.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.373.353.6532.26%29.69%29.85%27.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV +1.17%E +0.319%K +0.440%G +0.005% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -6.75%E -5.24%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV +0.889%E +0.244%K +0.337%G +0.003% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.220%E -0.061%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| Bovada | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.220%E -0.061%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 11:43 |
| FanDuel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.220%E -0.061%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.75%E -5.24%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.220%E -0.061%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.65%E -7.72%K -38.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -0.220%E -0.061%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -7.48%E -5.84%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.28%EV -0.497%E -0.138%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60%EV -3.14%E -2.34%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%EV -1.61%E -0.452%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.61%E -0.452%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -2.16%E -0.612%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 11:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.99%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| Betsson | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.99%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| ReBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.99%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.99%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| GTbets | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.71%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.29%EV -3.27%E -0.937%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -2.42%E -1.79%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -4.38%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.38%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.38%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.38%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.48%E -5.84%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.38%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.20%E -6.46%K -30.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.14%E -2.34%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.59%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 11:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.14%E -2.34%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.59%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| Unibet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| Casumo | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| betPARX | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| Bally Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.53%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| Caesars | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.53%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 11:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.53%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 11:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.53%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.53%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.53%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| Betway | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| Fliff | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.14%E -2.34%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -11.31%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| TAB | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.31%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 11:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.31%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-08 11:41 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.69%E -1.25%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.69%E -1.25%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.69%E -1.25%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.69%E -1.25%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| Neds | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |
| Novig | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-04-08 11:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.5% | 2026-04-08 11:45 |