Szkoła Kursów

Francisco Cerundolo v Tomas Machac

Początek: 2026-04-08 12:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

58 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Francisco Cerundolo (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 72.28%1.38kurs godziwy
EV -1.69%
Przewaga -1.25%
Kelly -4.71%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.36

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
69.51%72.16%72.54%74.23%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.251.321.321.3680.00%76.01%75.76%73.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Tomas Machac (Goście)

Prognoza 27.72%3.61kurs godziwy
EV +1.17%
Przewaga +0.319%
Kelly +0.440%
Wzrost +0.005%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.65

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.77%27.84%27.46%30.49%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.373.353.6532.26%29.69%29.85%27.40%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (58 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV +1.17%E +0.319%K +0.440%G +0.005%4.3%2026-04-08 11:45
SportsBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -6.75%E -5.24%K -23.29%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV +0.889%E +0.244%K +0.337%G +0.003%5.0%2026-04-08 11:45
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.220%E -0.061%K -0.085%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-08 11:45
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.220%E -0.061%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 11:43
FanDuel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.220%E -0.061%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 11:45
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.75%E -5.24%K -23.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.220%E -0.061%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 11:45
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.65%E -7.72%K -38.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -0.220%E -0.061%K -0.085%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 11:45
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -7.48%E -5.84%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.28%EV -0.497%E -0.138%K -0.192%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 11:45
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60%EV -3.14%E -2.34%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%EV -1.61%E -0.452%K -0.630%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-08 11:45
Bet Right1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.61%E -0.452%K -0.630%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 11:45
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -2.16%E -0.612%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 11:55
NordicBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.99%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 11:45
Betsson1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.99%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 11:45
ReBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.99%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 11:45
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.99%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 11:45
GTbets1.31I 76.34%NM 72.71%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.29%EV -3.27%E -0.937%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 11:45
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -2.42%E -1.79%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -4.38%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-08 11:45
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.38%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 11:45
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.38%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 11:45
theScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.38%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 11:45
NetBet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.48%E -5.84%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.38%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 11:45
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 11:45
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-08 11:45
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.20%E -6.46%K -30.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-08 11:45
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.14%E -2.34%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.59%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 11:55
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.14%E -2.34%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.59%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 11:45
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 11:45
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 11:45
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 11:45
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 11:45
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 11:45
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 11:45
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 11:45
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 11:45
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 11:45
Bally Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 11:45
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 11:45
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.53%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 11:45
Caesars1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.53%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 11:44
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.53%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 11:49
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.53%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 11:45
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.53%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 11:45
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.53%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 11:45
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 11:45
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 11:45
Fliff1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.31%E -4.05%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 11:45
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.14%E -2.34%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -11.31%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 11:45
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.59%E -3.47%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.31%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 11:54
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.03%E -4.64%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.31%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-08 11:41
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.69%E -1.25%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 11:45
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.69%E -1.25%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 11:45
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.69%E -1.25%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 11:45
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.69%E -1.25%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 11:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 11:45
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 11:45
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 11:45
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-04-08 11:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-04-08 11:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-04-08 11:45
Matchbook1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-04-08 11:45
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-04-08 11:55
Smarkets1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-04-08 11:45