La scuola delle quote

Felix Auger-Aliassime v Jannik Sinner

Inizio: 2026-04-10 12:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Casa)

Previsione 14.81%6.75quota equa
EV +11.05%
Vantaggio +1.47%
Kelly +1.70%
Crescita +0.188%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.89%15.00%14.47%18.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.006.336.507.5020.00%15.80%15.38%13.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jannik Sinner (Trasferta)

Previsione 85.19%1.17quota equa
EV -2.03%
Vantaggio -1.76%
Kelly -13.52%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
81.43%85.00%85.53%87.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.071.111.101.1593.46%90.46%90.91%86.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
DraftKings7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +11.05%E +1.47%K +1.70%G +0.188%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-10 12:20
GTbets7.28I 13.74%NM 12.92%EV +7.79%E +1.07%K +1.24%G +0.097%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.08%EV -7.99%E -7.40%K -99.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 12:05
Winamax (FR)7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV +7.35%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.086%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -7.14%E -6.55%K -79.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 12:20
NordicBet7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV +7.35%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.086%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -7.99%E -7.40%K -99.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 12:20
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.65%E +0.521%K +0.608%G +0.022%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 12:20
William Hill7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.65%E +0.521%K +0.608%G +0.022%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 12:04
Unibet (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.65%E +0.521%K +0.608%G +0.022%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 11:59
BetUS7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.65%E +0.521%K +0.608%G +0.022%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 12:04
Hard Rock Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.65%E +0.521%K +0.608%G +0.022%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 12:10
NetBet (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +3.65%E +0.521%K +0.608%G +0.022%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.99%E -7.40%K -99.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 12:09
Betclic (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV +3.65%E +0.521%K +0.608%G +0.022%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -8.84%E -8.26%K -126.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 12:03
1xBet6.89I 14.51%NM 13.88%EV +2.02%E +0.293%K +0.343%G +0.007%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.13%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 12:09
Coolbet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -0.054%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-10 12:20
Winamax (DE)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -0.054%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -7.99%E -7.40%K -99.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.06%EV -2.27%E -0.345%K -0.406%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.94%EV -7.99%E -7.40%K -99.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 12:05
Neds6.60I 15.15%NM 14.06%EV -2.27%E -0.345%K -0.406%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.94%EV -7.99%E -7.40%K -99.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 12:05
Casumo6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 12:20
Unibet (NL)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 12:20
Unibet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 12:20
betPARX6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 12:20
Svenska Spel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 12:20
ATG (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 12:20
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 12:20
Betsson6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 12:20
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 12:19
theScore Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 12:20
SportsBet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.14%E -6.55%K -79.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 12:16
TAB6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.14%E -6.55%K -79.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 12:03
Tipico (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.99%E -7.40%K -99.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 12:20
Pinnacle6.48I 15.43%NM 14.96%EV -4.05%E -0.625%K -0.739%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.04%EV -2.88%E -2.53%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-10 12:20
Bet Right6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.46%E -1.19%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.58%E -4.09%K -38.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 12:05
Betr (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.46%E -1.19%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 12:04
TABtouch6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -9.68%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 12:20
Virgin Bet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.68%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 12:20
Grosvenor6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.68%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 12:20
LiveScore Bet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.68%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 12:20
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -11.16%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.73%E -3.30%K -28.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 12:20
Bovada6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -11.16%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.73%E -3.30%K -28.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 12:18
FanDuel6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.16%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.58%E -4.09%K -38.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 12:20
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.16%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 12:20
Everygame6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -11.16%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 12:04
Fanatics6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -11.16%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.14%E -6.55%K -79.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 12:20
LeoVegas6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -11.16%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.14%E -6.55%K -79.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -11.16%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.14%E -6.55%K -79.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 12:20
LowVig.ag5.91I 16.92%NM 16.29%EV -12.49%E -2.11%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.71%EV -2.03%E -1.76%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 12:05
BetOnline.ag5.91I 16.92%NM 16.29%EV -12.49%E -2.11%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.71%EV -2.03%E -1.76%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 12:04
PlayUp5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -14.86%E -2.58%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.73%E -3.30%K -28.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 12:15
Coral5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.86%E -2.58%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.58%E -4.09%K -38.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.86%E -2.58%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.58%E -4.09%K -38.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 12:20
Fliff5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -14.86%E -2.58%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 12:20
PMU (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.04%EV -17.08%E -3.05%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 83.96%EV -8.84%E -8.26%K -126.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-10 12:20
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -18.56%E -3.37%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.73%E -3.30%K -28.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 12:19
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.56%E -3.37%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.58%E -4.09%K -38.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 12:20
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.56%E -3.37%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.58%E -4.09%K -38.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 12:19
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.56%E -3.37%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.58%E -4.09%K -38.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 12:20
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.56%E -3.37%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.58%E -4.09%K -38.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 12:20
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -25.97%E -5.19%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -2.88%E -2.53%K -20.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 12:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88%1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12%0.1%2026-04-10 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%0.5%2026-04-10 12:20
Matchbook6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%1.7%2026-04-10 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%2.9%2026-04-10 12:20
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%4.1%2026-04-10 12:20
ProphetX5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%4.7%2026-04-10 12:19
Novig5.78I 17.30%NM 16.11%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.89%7.4%2026-04-10 12:20