La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Felix Auger-Aliassime v Jannik Sinner
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)
Predicción 14.81%6.75momio equitativo
EV +11.05%
Ventaja +1.47%
Kelly +1.70%
Crecimiento +0.188%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.89%15.00%14.47%18.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.006.336.507.5020.00%15.80%15.38%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jannik Sinner (Visitante)
Predicción 85.19%1.17momio equitativo
EV -2.03%
Ventaja -1.76%
Kelly -13.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.43%85.00%85.53%87.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.071.111.101.1593.46%90.46%90.91%86.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +11.05%E +1.47%K +1.70%G +0.188% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.41%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| GTbets | 7.28I 13.74%NM 12.92%EV +7.79%E +1.07%K +1.24%G +0.097% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.08%EV -7.99%E -7.40%K -99.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 12:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV +7.35%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.086% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -7.14%E -6.55%K -79.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| NordicBet | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV +7.35%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.086% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -7.99%E -7.40%K -99.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.65%E +0.521%K +0.608%G +0.022% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| William Hill | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.65%E +0.521%K +0.608%G +0.022% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 12:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.65%E +0.521%K +0.608%G +0.022% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 11:59 |
| BetUS | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.65%E +0.521%K +0.608%G +0.022% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 12:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.65%E +0.521%K +0.608%G +0.022% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 12:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +3.65%E +0.521%K +0.608%G +0.022% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.99%E -7.40%K -99.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 12:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV +3.65%E +0.521%K +0.608%G +0.022% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -8.84%E -8.26%K -126.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 12:03 |
| 1xBet | 6.89I 14.51%NM 13.88%EV +2.02%E +0.293%K +0.343%G +0.007% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.13%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 12:09 |
| Coolbet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -0.054%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -0.054%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -7.99%E -7.40%K -99.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.06%EV -2.27%E -0.345%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.94%EV -7.99%E -7.40%K -99.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 12:05 |
| Neds | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.06%EV -2.27%E -0.345%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.94%EV -7.99%E -7.40%K -99.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 12:05 |
| Casumo | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| Unibet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| betPARX | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| Betsson | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| BoyleSports | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 12:19 |
| theScore Bet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| SportsBet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.14%E -6.55%K -79.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 12:16 |
| TAB | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.14%E -6.55%K -79.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 12:03 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.99%E -7.40%K -99.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| Pinnacle | 6.48I 15.43%NM 14.96%EV -4.05%E -0.625%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.04%EV -2.88%E -2.53%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| Bet Right | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.46%E -1.19%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.58%E -4.09%K -38.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 12:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.46%E -1.19%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-10 12:04 |
| TABtouch | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -9.68%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.68%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| Grosvenor | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.68%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.68%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| Betway | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -11.16%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.73%E -3.30%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| Bovada | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -11.16%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.73%E -3.30%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 12:18 |
| FanDuel | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.16%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.58%E -4.09%K -38.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| Paddy Power | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.16%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| Everygame | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -11.16%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 12:04 |
| Fanatics | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -11.16%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.14%E -6.55%K -79.33%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| LeoVegas | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -11.16%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.14%E -6.55%K -79.33%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -11.16%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.14%E -6.55%K -79.33%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.91I 16.92%NM 16.29%EV -12.49%E -2.11%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.71%EV -2.03%E -1.76%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-10 12:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.91I 16.92%NM 16.29%EV -12.49%E -2.11%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.71%EV -2.03%E -1.76%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-10 12:04 |
| PlayUp | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -14.86%E -2.58%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.73%E -3.30%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-10 12:15 |
| Coral | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.86%E -2.58%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.58%E -4.09%K -38.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.86%E -2.58%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.58%E -4.09%K -38.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| Fliff | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -14.86%E -2.58%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.04%EV -17.08%E -3.05%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.96%EV -8.84%E -8.26%K -126.33%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| Bet Victor | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -18.56%E -3.37%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.73%E -3.30%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-10 12:19 |
| 888sport | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.56%E -3.37%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.58%E -4.09%K -38.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| BetMGM | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.56%E -3.37%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.58%E -4.09%K -38.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-10 12:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.56%E -3.37%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.58%E -4.09%K -38.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.56%E -3.37%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.58%E -4.09%K -38.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| Caesars | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -25.97%E -5.19%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -2.88%E -2.53%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 12:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12% | 0.1% | 2026-04-10 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 0.5% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| Matchbook | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53% | 1.7% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34% | 2.9% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| Smarkets | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |
| ProphetX | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 12:19 |
| Novig | 5.78I 17.30%NM 16.11% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.89% | 7.4% | 2026-04-10 12:20 |