L’École des cotes

Felix Auger-Aliassime v Jannik Sinner

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-10 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)

Prévision 14.81%6.75cote équitable
EV +11.05%
Avantage +1.47%
Kelly +1.70%
Croissance +0.188%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.89%15.00%14.47%18.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.006.336.507.5020.00%15.80%15.38%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jannik Sinner (Visiteur)

Prévision 85.19%1.17cote équitable
EV -2.03%
Avantage -1.76%
Kelly -13.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
81.43%85.00%85.53%87.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.071.111.101.1593.46%90.46%90.91%86.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +11.05%E +1.47%K +1.70%G +0.188%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-10 12:20
GTbets7.28I 13.74%NM 12.92%EV +7.79%E +1.07%K +1.24%G +0.097%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.08%EV -7.99%E -7.40%K -99.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 12:05
Winamax (FR)7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV +7.35%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.086%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -7.14%E -6.55%K -79.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 12:20
NordicBet7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV +7.35%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.086%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -7.99%E -7.40%K -99.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 12:20
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.65%E +0.521%K +0.608%G +0.022%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 12:20
William Hill7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.65%E +0.521%K +0.608%G +0.022%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 12:04
Unibet (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.65%E +0.521%K +0.608%G +0.022%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 11:59
BetUS7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.65%E +0.521%K +0.608%G +0.022%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 12:04
Hard Rock Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.65%E +0.521%K +0.608%G +0.022%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 12:10
NetBet (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +3.65%E +0.521%K +0.608%G +0.022%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.99%E -7.40%K -99.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 12:09
Betclic (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV +3.65%E +0.521%K +0.608%G +0.022%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -8.84%E -8.26%K -126.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 12:03
1xBet6.89I 14.51%NM 13.88%EV +2.02%E +0.293%K +0.343%G +0.007%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.13%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 12:09
Coolbet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -0.054%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-10 12:20
Winamax (DE)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -0.054%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -7.99%E -7.40%K -99.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.06%EV -2.27%E -0.345%K -0.406%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.94%EV -7.99%E -7.40%K -99.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 12:05
Neds6.60I 15.15%NM 14.06%EV -2.27%E -0.345%K -0.406%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.94%EV -7.99%E -7.40%K -99.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 12:05
Casumo6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 12:20
Unibet (NL)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 12:20
Unibet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 12:20
betPARX6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 12:20
Svenska Spel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 12:20
ATG (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 12:20
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 12:20
Betsson6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 12:20
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 12:19
theScore Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 12:20
SportsBet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.14%E -6.55%K -79.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 12:16
TAB6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.14%E -6.55%K -79.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 12:03
Tipico (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -3.76%E -0.578%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.99%E -7.40%K -99.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 12:20
Pinnacle6.48I 15.43%NM 14.96%EV -4.05%E -0.625%K -0.739%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.04%EV -2.88%E -2.53%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-10 12:20
Bet Right6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.46%E -1.19%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.58%E -4.09%K -38.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 12:05
Betr (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.46%E -1.19%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 12:04
TABtouch6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -9.68%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 12:20
Virgin Bet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.68%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 12:20
Grosvenor6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.68%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 12:20
LiveScore Bet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.68%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 12:20
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -11.16%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.73%E -3.30%K -28.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 12:20
Bovada6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -11.16%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.73%E -3.30%K -28.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 12:18
FanDuel6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.16%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.58%E -4.09%K -38.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 12:20
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.16%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 12:20
Everygame6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -11.16%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 12:04
Fanatics6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -11.16%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.14%E -6.55%K -79.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 12:20
LeoVegas6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -11.16%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.14%E -6.55%K -79.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -11.16%E -1.86%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.14%E -6.55%K -79.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 12:20
LowVig.ag5.91I 16.92%NM 16.29%EV -12.49%E -2.11%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.71%EV -2.03%E -1.76%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 12:05
BetOnline.ag5.91I 16.92%NM 16.29%EV -12.49%E -2.11%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.71%EV -2.03%E -1.76%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 12:04
PlayUp5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -14.86%E -2.58%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.73%E -3.30%K -28.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 12:15
Coral5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.86%E -2.58%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.58%E -4.09%K -38.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.86%E -2.58%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.58%E -4.09%K -38.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 12:20
Fliff5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -14.86%E -2.58%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 12:20
PMU (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.04%EV -17.08%E -3.05%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 83.96%EV -8.84%E -8.26%K -126.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-10 12:20
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -18.56%E -3.37%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.73%E -3.30%K -28.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 12:19
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.56%E -3.37%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.58%E -4.09%K -38.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 12:20
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.56%E -3.37%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.58%E -4.09%K -38.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 12:19
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.56%E -3.37%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.58%E -4.09%K -38.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 12:20
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.56%E -3.37%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.58%E -4.09%K -38.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 12:20
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -25.97%E -5.19%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -2.88%E -2.53%K -20.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 12:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88%1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12%0.1%2026-04-10 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%0.5%2026-04-10 12:20
Matchbook6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%1.7%2026-04-10 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%2.9%2026-04-10 12:20
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%4.1%2026-04-10 12:20
ProphetX5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%4.7%2026-04-10 12:19
Novig5.78I 17.30%NM 16.11%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.89%7.4%2026-04-10 12:20