Language:English
Alexander Blockx v Alex de Minaur
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alexander Blockx (Local)
Prediction 37.68%2.65fair odd
EV +20.56%
Edge +6.43%
Kelly +9.35%
Growth +1.92%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.82%37.02%37.66%39.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.552.503.2042.55%39.15%40.00%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alex de Minaur (Visit)
Prediction 62.32%1.60fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -6.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.87%62.98%62.34%70.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.481.501.5573.53%67.39%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Blockx (Local): 37.68%; Alex de Minaur (Visit): 62.32%. For Alexander Blockx (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.65. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.56%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +20.56%E +6.43%K +9.35%G +1.92% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -15.24%E -11.21%K -42.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 14:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV +16.80%E +5.42%K +8.00%G +1.34% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -12.12%E -8.60%K -29.57%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +5.49%E +1.96%K +3.05%G +0.168% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -12.75%E -9.10%K -31.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +3.61%E +1.31%K +2.06%G +0.074% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -11.50%E -8.10%K -27.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-09 14:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +3.61%E +1.31%K +2.06%G +0.074% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -12.75%E -9.10%K -31.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 14:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -1.29%E -0.492%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -10.25%E -7.12%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 14:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.75%EV -3.17%E -1.23%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.25%EV -10.88%E -7.61%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.93%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.93%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.93%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.93%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.93%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.40%E -2.19%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.02%E -2.61%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.64%E -3.04%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -6.56%E -2.65%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -7.76%E -5.24%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.38%E -5.70%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.58%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -9.58%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -10.88%E -7.61%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.33%E -4.34%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.64%E -3.04%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -11.46%E -4.88%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -7.76%E -5.24%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 0.3% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 0.3% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88% | 1.3% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87% | 1.7% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18% | 2.1% | 2026-04-09 14:55 |